NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	9.9 [67]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +45.4%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	3.9 [215]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (POR): -27.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.45	-0.03	0.48	0.00	16	51%	0.51	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.03	-0.04	12	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12	-0.02	-0.12	-0.02	13	47%	-0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Omar Cook	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	14%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.02	-0.25	0.00	10	57%	-0.12	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	13	77%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	4	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	23	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.07	1	0.01	4	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	11	58%	-0.06	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.6	15.0	26.0	1.8	37.2	131.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +1.6%

POR +9.0%

POR +38.3%

GSW -9.8%

POR +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	16.6	15.7	110.6	108.1	100.5
season	17.1	16.1		101.5	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	17.5	16.5	18.8	17.1
GSW	16.9	15.3	17.0	17.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	69	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	16.8	18.4	-1.65	17.3	13.3	4.03
Ruben Patterson	41	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	17.6	16.7	0.90	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Derek Anderson	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	16.7	20.6	-3.87	16.7	15.6	1.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	17.8	15.7	2.10	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Zach Randolph	53	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-4	9	17.5	16.4	1.15	16.9	16.0	0.88
Dan Dickau	4	4	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	-1	3	19.2	17.0	2.26	19.0	16.5	2.52
Dale Davis	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	2	-3	17.5	17.0	0.49	13.5	17.1	-3.60
Darius Miles	45	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	16.3	18.0	-1.71	16.9	16.3	0.59
Theo Ratliff	53	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	8	-15	16.2	18.6	-2.35	16.8	16.3	0.50
Omar Cook	15	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	9	-17	19.7	16.5	3.12	13.9	17.2	-3.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	24	25	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-5	9	16.5	16.6	-0.13	18.2	16.6	1.51
Nick Van Exel	51	53	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-1	1	17.0	16.1	0.90	17.6	16.2	1.35
Brian Cardinal	45	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	16.8	16.3	0.48	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Speedy Claxton	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	16.8	15.8	0.96	16.9	17.9	-1.00
Erick Dampier	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	4	-9	16.6	16.5	0.13	16.6	18.2	-1.51
Clifford Robinson	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-3	5	16.2	17.5	-1.35	17.2	16.8	0.36
Jason Richardson	71	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	16.4	17.6	-1.22	17.1	17.1	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	47	45	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.69	-6	5	-11	16.6	16.6	-0.04	16.7	17.5	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	93.2%
NOP 101, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.34,0.26,0	92.2%
MIN 100, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.32,0.42,0	92.1%