NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	6.5 [492]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +42.5%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.0 [549]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): -12.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.25	0.10	0.18	0.03	5	100%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	12	54%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	6	121%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jawad Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.06	0.05	10	57%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0,-0.07,0.06,-0.09	0.04	-0.07	0.07	31	50%	-0.04	3	-0.05	22	64%	-0.15

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.42	0.42	0.23	0.25	0.06	17	80%	0.47	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.08
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.11	-0.02	4	70%	0.15	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	14	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.09
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	-0.00	-0.06	13	47%	0.12	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	50%	-0.08	3	-0.05	6	33%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.0	36.2	19.3	31.3	3.7	46.4	166.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +8.2%

BOS +35.0%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +2.7%

CLE -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	15.3	113.0	119.4	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.8	15.9	10.5	14.1
BOS	14.0	13.5	15.4	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	52	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.06	14	-18	32	14.0	14.2	-0.22	15.4	14.5	0.82
Jamario Moon	15	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.18	-8	4	-12	15.9	13.8	2.05	11.1	15.6	-4.50
Jawad Williams	2	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	7.0	14.3	-7.27	2.0	15.1	-13.11
Leon Powe	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	2	-8	15.7	13.7	2.06	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Delonte West	62	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-12	20	12.6	16.6	-3.97	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Antawn Jamison	61	61	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-11	18	14.4	13.7	0.62	16.2	13.0	3.22
Anthony Parker	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	14.0	14.3	-0.21	16.4	12.2	4.17
Mo Williams	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	12	-28	15.3	12.3	3.06	14.6	15.6	-0.94
LeBron James	92	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	13.7	18.9	-5.17	15.3	11.4	3.82
JJ Hickson	67	66	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	10	-24	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.2	16.6	-2.35

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	39	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	4	-4	13.7	15.8	-2.10	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Ray Allen	85	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-3	10	15.1	14.0	1.13	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Rajon Rondo	85	86	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	4	-4	15.3	12.8	2.55	14.3	13.2	1.05
Kevin Garnett	70	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	7	-10	15.9	12.6	3.32	13.6	15.5	-1.87
Paul Pierce	70	73	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	1	2	15.7	13.3	2.37	13.3	16.4	-3.13
Michael Finley	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	-4	12	12.6	15.5	-2.97	14.9	13.9	1.01
Rasheed Wallace	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-2	8	12.2	15.8	-3.67	15.0	13.9	1.09
Glen Davis	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	4	-4	14.0	15.5	-1.52	14.8	13.8	0.98
Shelden Williams	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	12.5	15.1	-2.64	16.0	14.0	1.98
Kendrick Perkins	59	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	6	-8	15.8	13.7	2.18	14.7	13.2	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.54,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.71,0.43,0.73,1	93.9%
DET 74, IND 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.45,0.74,1	92.7%
NJN 87, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.98,0.9,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	92.5%