NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	5.3 [742]		MVP	Dan Gadzuric (MIL): +10.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.3 [868]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -18.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	72%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.03	14	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,0.06,-0.09,-0.1	-0.14	0.04	0.00	22	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.21	-0.02	-0.04	19	33%	-0.10	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.12	-0.04	14	52%	0.15	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	60%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.03	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	22.5	15.5	27.4	2.5	36.5	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +62.6%

NJN -2.4%

NJN -2.9%

NJN -11.7%

MIL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.8	15.7	93.5	98.9	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		98.1	103.6
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.3	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	17.2	15.8	11.5	15.1
MIL	14.6	16.3	15.5	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	14.8	15.4	-0.55	16.4	15.5	0.92
Robert Pack	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	21.0	14.6	6.41	19.6	15.4	4.13
Tamar Slay	13	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	18.7	14.6	4.13	20.2	15.0	5.21
Jason Collins	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	4	-13	16.8	14.7	2.07	12.1	16.7	-4.61
Rodney Rogers	47	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	14.8	15.5	-0.67	16.3	15.3	0.93
Jason Kidd	85	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	14.6	21.0	-6.41	15.4	19.6	-4.13
Kerry Kittles	82	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	14.6	19.4	-4.79	15.0	20.8	-5.83
Richard Jefferson	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	15.0	17.2	-2.18	15.7	17.8	-2.08
Kenyon Martin	87	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.0	1.22	16.2	10.9	5.38

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	15.4	18.5	-3.15	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Joe Smith	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	14.5	19.5	-5.05	14.7	16.2	-1.50
T.J. Ford	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-7	19	14.4	17.6	-3.19	15.9	14.1	1.87
Michael Redd	76	77	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	5	-5	14.7	20.7	-5.97	14.4	18.7	-4.36
Daniel Santiago	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-9	23	14.0	16.7	-2.74	17.2	14.1	3.13
Desmond Mason	54	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	9	-13	17.4	13.6	3.77	15.2	15.0	0.21
Damon Jones	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	10	-15	17.3	14.6	2.70	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Toni Kukoc	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	4	-3	19.2	14.1	5.05	16.3	14.6	1.68
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	7	-9	18.7	14.3	4.31	15.5	14.9	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.98,0.9,0.63,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.78,0.78,0.92,1	94.0%
MIL 95, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	94.0%
CHI 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.67,0.82,1	93.4%