NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	5.3 [759]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +39.4%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.2 [516]		LVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3	0.06	0.25	0.01	4	87%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.04	12	62%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Mike Scott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Pero Antic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	5	60%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.39	0.39	0.03	0.34	-0.02	12	54%	0.41	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	7	87%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	6	53%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.05
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.07	15	52%	0.14	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	10	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.4	32.5	16.4	31.6	3.3	45.1	158.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +54.0%

ATL -4.3%

WAS +1.1%

ATL -6.4%

WAS +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.6	17.0	15.1	106.3	110.8	104.2
season	14.9	15.1		106.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.7	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	14.5	12.8	11.4	13.6
WAS	16.7	16.1	16.0	19.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	33	32	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.09	15	-17	32	12.2	14.4	-2.28	18.4	16.3	2.09
John Jenkins	2	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-7	12	11.5	13.7	-2.19	25.5	16.8	8.65
Shelvin Mack	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-18	34	11.2	14.1	-2.85	20.3	16.5	3.81
Mike Muscala	26	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-12	22	12.4	14.1	-1.73	19.3	16.2	3.13
Paul Millsap	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	14.5	13.0	1.50	17.2	16.9	0.29
Dennis Schroder	38	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	12.6	14.4	-1.77	17.6	16.7	0.85
Pero Antic	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	10	-22	14.3	13.3	1.01	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Al Horford	56	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	5	-12	14.3	12.6	1.70	16.0	18.4	-2.49
Jeff Teague	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	14.0	12.8	1.23	16.7	17.9	-1.23
Kyle Korver	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-2	2	13.8	13.1	0.70	16.9	17.3	-0.39
DeMarre Carroll	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	9	-20	14.1	12.8	1.33	16.0	18.8	-2.82
Kent Bazemore	33	33	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.32	-16	14	-30	13.6	13.7	-0.06	16.4	17.4	-0.94

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-10	22	16.3	19.0	-2.64	13.6	13.8	-0.16
Paul Pierce	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.63	-6	8	-14	17.5	16.5	0.92	13.1	14.3	-1.19
Ramon Sessions	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	-1	4	17.0	17.1	-0.07	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Bradley Beal	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	6	-10	17.5	15.3	2.18	13.7	13.3	0.38
Will Bynum	27	26	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	2	-2	16.4	17.3	-0.93	13.7	13.6	0.12
Drew Gooden	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-7	16	16.0	17.5	-1.45	13.1	13.9	-0.73
Garrett Temple	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-4	10	15.3	17.5	-2.18	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Otto Porter	76	77	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	0	2	16.9	17.5	-0.54	14.5	9.9	4.63
Nene	55	57	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	14	-26	18.5	14.9	3.66	13.6	13.7	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.78,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	94.7%
SAS 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1	94.5%
TOR 99, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	94.5%