NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	3.8 [1053]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +14.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.0 [583]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (SAS): -11.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	11	77%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	4	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
James White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	14	61%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	15	66%	0.21	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	73%	0.12	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	4	112%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	30.0	15.7	26.4	1.7	26.2	125.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.4%

MEM +6.8%

SAS -0.6%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.4	100.0	112.2	104.5
season	16.2	15.1		107.5	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		110.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	15.1	16.4	15.0	15.7
MEM	16.2	14.3	15.6	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	16.3	15.6	0.74	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Melvin Ely	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-14	18	15.4	15.8	-0.41	17.7	15.4	2.25
Matt Bonner	46	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.25	5	-15	20	15.4	16.1	-0.65	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Michael Finley	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-9	8	16.3	15.2	1.07	16.7	15.5	1.17
Beno Udrih	55	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	15.9	15.6	0.30	16.0	16.2	-0.26
Francisco Elson	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-1	-8	16.1	15.6	0.47	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Bruce Bowen	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	14.9	16.1	-1.15	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Robert Horry	41	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	16.4	15.2	1.15	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Jacque Vaughn	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.0	16.5	-1.47	16.7	15.4	1.28
Jackie Butler	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	1	-12	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.8	16.5	-0.64
James White	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	6	-22	16.0	14.6	1.40	16.3	15.4	0.85

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	16.3	15.3	0.94	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Tarence Kinsey	78	80	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-8	26	16.3	14.7	1.64	15.9	14.6	1.25
Dahntay Jones	78	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	2	6	16.1	16.1	0.01	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Hakim Warrick	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-3	16	16.3	15.8	0.48	15.5	16.0	-0.41
Chucky Atkins	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	11	-12	16.1	16.0	0.05	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Junior Harrington	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	8	-6	16.4	16.0	0.43	15.6	15.8	-0.15
Rudy Gay	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	14.8	16.5	-1.66	16.6	15.5	1.11
Stromile Swift	33	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	13	-16	16.5	15.8	0.67	16.5	15.3	1.17
Alexander Johnson	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	11	-12	14.6	16.7	-2.06	16.3	15.5	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 84, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 87, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%