NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	4.8 [825]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +20.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.1 [1240]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -24.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.01	0.07	11	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	17	66%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Garner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.02	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.27	-0.01	-0.03	13	21%	-0.12	6	-0.12	3	67%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.04	-0.02	15	84%	0.27	4	-0.07	8	62%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.3	16.0	23.1	1.8	35.2	128.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

LAL +3.5%

TOR -1.7%

LAL +12.3%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.6	100.0	105.0	102.5
season	15.5	14.8		98.7	110.0
opponent	15.6	14.8		102.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	15.5	15.1	11.7	14.8
LAL	13.3	14.5	14.3	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	8.0	14.9	-6.95	5.5	14.3	-8.82
Carlos Rogers	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-6	6	15.1	14.7	0.47	14.9	13.9	1.06
Shawn Respert	52	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-10	14	13.6	16.2	-2.63	14.7	13.5	1.23
Oliver Miller	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.1	15.6	-1.45	13.0	15.5	-2.48
Popeye Jones	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	4	-14	16.1	13.7	2.39	14.4	13.9	0.50
Doug Christie	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.7	15.1	-0.37	14.1	14.2	-0.14
John Wallace	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.1	8.9	6.19
Reggie Slater	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	2	-10	15.2	13.5	1.68	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Damon Stoudamire	85	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	8	-22	14.9	14.2	0.69	13.5	17.7	-4.15

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-4	14	13.6	15.6	-1.99	15.5	12.9	2.58
Robert Horry	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-4	14	12.8	16.4	-3.64	15.9	12.8	3.10
Elden Campbell	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	1	4	13.5	16.0	-2.53	15.1	13.9	1.19
Nick Van Exel	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	14.4	13.3	1.18	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Rick Fox	73	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	9	-12	14.4	13.4	1.00	14.4	15.9	-1.56
Kobe Bryant	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	2	2	13.6	14.5	-0.94	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Derek Fisher	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	3	0	12.7	14.7	-1.98	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Sean Rooks	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	5	-4	16.0	13.5	2.53	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Corie Blount	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.17	-3	9	-12	17.0	12.5	4.47	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Jon Barry	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	5	-4	17.6	13.7	3.91	14.4	14.9	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ORL 92, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	96.0%
PHI 88, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%