inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 84 Excitement7.3 [332] MVPJosh Smith (ATL): +51.8%
Atlanta Hawks 86 Comeback2.8 [446] LVPJJ Redick (ORL): -16.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.290.020.270.001647%0.2900.00250%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.021362%0.164-0.096100%0.04
Matt Barnes0.060,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.00867%0.071-0.022100%0.02
Mickael Pietrus0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00357%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Marcin Gortat0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.01930%-0.072-0.052100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.26,-0.16-0.07-0.10-0.021150%0.105-0.261669%0.02
JJ Redick-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16-0.05-0.11-0.00731%-0.141-0.022100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.520.52-0.020.540.001052%0.583-0.06978%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.05-0.01978%0.1800.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.015100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00175%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jeff Teague00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.001741%0.072-0.097100%0.13
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02922%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.011437%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.08-0.001155%0.053-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.21.732.115.825.72.043.4150.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +48.5%
ATL +5.9%
ORL -14.6%
ATL +4.7%
ATL +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game15.616.215.392.395.6106.0
season15.416.0110.1109.4
opponent15.815.9106.0101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.617.014.015.815.6
ATL15.015.018.017.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass1211-0.04-0.460.420.05-31-413.116.0-2.8917.016.10.87
Mickael Pietrus1716-0.11-0.390.290.04-53-818.514.93.5415.316.4-1.12
Marcin Gortat98-0.16-0.340.180.11-97-1616.815.51.3111.516.7-5.20
Jameer Nelson6666-0.18-0.320.13-0.4810-122214.817.8-3.0417.113.93.22
Matt Barnes5756-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-42-614.717.1-2.4816.615.70.85
Dwight Howard7879-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.6011-132415.714.80.8716.812.14.72
Vince Carter7273-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.548-101815.316.6-1.2516.814.02.75
Jason Williams2524-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-1210-2217.814.83.0413.917.1-3.22
JJ Redick4039-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.25-42-616.415.01.3915.716.7-1.00
Rashard Lewis7978-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.43-20-215.615.50.1115.819.2-3.38

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith68700.56-0.060.610.5020216.116.7-0.5915.516.0-0.59
Mike Bibby55530.55-0.050.600.5211017.414.33.0915.515.7-0.11
Al Horford66640.430.070.370.49-24-617.014.22.8215.216.6-1.47
Maurice Evans38390.350.150.20-0.1216-143013.917.9-3.9616.514.91.61
Jamal Crawford57570.300.200.100.097-51216.016.6-0.5416.514.12.31
Joe Johnson75750.280.220.060.40-46-1016.813.63.1615.118.1-3.07
Zaza Pachulia30320.180.32-0.15-0.099-71614.916.9-2.0516.715.01.64
Jeff Teague790.040.46-0.42-0.0220213.616.5-2.8920.015.14.89
Mario West24-0.010.51-0.530.13-57-125.016.5-11.496.016.0-10.03
Marvin Williams5252-0.180.68-0.850.29-1618-3416.915.31.5914.816.6-1.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.78,0.69,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.84,192.9%
MIL 80, NJN 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.68,1,192.7%
TOR 90, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.85,192.5%