NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	5.2 [769]		MVP	Stephen Graham (CHA): +13.6%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.8 [710]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -22.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	79%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.09	-0.07	0.06	10	77%	0.08	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.23	-0.14	-0.05	0.04	22	42%	-0.11	6	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	4	69%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	25	46%	0.05	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	31.5	15.6	29.3	2.5	35.6	143.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +21.3%

IND +5.0%

CHA -2.5%

IND +21.2%

IND +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.3	103.3	108.8	106.0
season	16.2	14.2		103.0	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	17.7	18.6	13.0	16.0
IND	15.7	13.7	16.5	17.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-10	15	17.0	15.3	1.70	17.3	14.7	2.54
Stephen Graham	59	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-18	31	15.7	16.4	-0.65	16.9	13.5	3.38
Raymond Felton	65	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-14	23	16.1	15.5	0.64	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Boris Diaw	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-12	19	15.9	16.1	-0.14	15.7	15.9	-0.26
Gerald Henderson	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	9	-23	15.3	16.1	-0.84	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Tyson Chandler	20	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	8	-21	16.6	15.8	0.83	16.4	15.5	0.85
Tyrus Thomas	49	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	5	-15	15.0	17.1	-2.12	14.5	17.1	-2.60
Stephen Jackson	91	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	16.0	0.0	15.96	15.8	12.5	3.26
D.J. Augustin	38	36	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	13	-31	16.3	15.7	0.66	14.9	16.2	-1.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	51	52	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-8	21	15.0	16.5	-1.49	16.4	15.3	1.09
A.J. Price	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	16.3	15.3	0.98	14.8	16.8	-2.08
Danny Granger	76	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	7	-9	16.3	12.6	3.70	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Solomon Jones	35	36	0.28	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-5	15	14.8	16.2	-1.45	16.6	15.5	1.04
Troy Murphy	69	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	7	-9	15.4	16.5	-1.07	16.0	15.7	0.33
Brandon Rush	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-3	11	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.2	15.8	0.44
Roy Hibbert	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	3	-1	16.3	15.2	1.15	16.9	15.2	1.67
Earl Watson	66	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	9	-13	15.4	16.4	-0.98	16.0	15.7	0.32
Dahntay Jones	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	8	-11	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.5	17.1	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIN 86, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
MIN 79, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%