NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Excitement	4.4 [928]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +10.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	2.0 [808]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -15.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	5	110%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	16	43%	-0.05	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.03	0.08	19	72%	0.13	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	80%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	15	39%	-0.05	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.8	28.2	15.7	24.2	1.8	24.2	118.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.8%

MIN -0.8%

POR +10.1%

POR +3.8%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.7	94.0	110.8	100.5
season	15.6	17.1		103.2	101.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		103.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	18.0	18.9	16.3	17.1
POR	21.8	14.6	16.2	17.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-15	17	15.7	17.7	-2.03	18.0	17.1	0.94
Trenton Hassell	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-12	11	16.6	17.5	-0.87	18.2	16.7	1.57
Gary Trent	14	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	15.1	17.5	-2.41	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Oliver Miller	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	18.2	17.0	1.19	15.4	17.5	-2.14
Sam Cassell	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-13	13	16.7	18.4	-1.73	17.6	16.6	1.01
Wally Szczerbiak	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.9	18.2	-2.31	16.5	18.3	-1.80
Michael Olowokandi	48	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	17.9	16.0	1.85	17.4	17.5	-0.12
Fred Hoiberg	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-5	-3	16.4	17.4	-1.02	16.8	17.7	-0.94
Latrell Sprewell	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	0	-13	17.7	14.8	2.90	17.3	17.7	-0.33
Kevin Garnett	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	0	-13	17.8	15.0	2.78	17.7	16.5	1.15
Troy Hudson	25	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	6	-25	19.0	16.3	2.73	17.3	17.5	-0.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	41	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	16.8	18.0	-1.24	17.1	17.1	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-1	15	17.8	14.2	3.58	17.4	14.4	2.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	41	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-6	25	17.1	17.7	-0.52	16.6	17.6	-0.97
Dale Davis	18	18	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	1	11	16.6	17.6	-1.02	19.5	16.4	3.08
Omar Cook	9	11	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	2	9	16.4	17.5	-1.08	19.5	16.7	2.73
Zach Randolph	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	12	-11	17.3	17.6	-0.22	16.9	17.4	-0.49
Derek Anderson	66	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	16	-19	17.5	17.1	0.44	16.7	18.9	-2.21
Darius Miles	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	8	-3	18.2	16.3	1.89	17.9	16.1	1.79
Theo Ratliff	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	19	-25	18.0	16.5	1.48	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Eddie Gill	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	13.0	17.6	-4.58	11.0	17.2	-6.23
Qyntel Woods	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	13.0	17.6	-4.58	11.0	17.2	-6.23
Dan Dickau	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	15.0	17.6	-2.56	8.7	17.5	-8.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 94, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,0.98,1	94.9%