NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	4.7 [884]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +18.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	2.0 [804]		LVP	Doug Christie (SAC): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	51%	0.01	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Jabari Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	14	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	6	25%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	20	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	13	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	9	86%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	17	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	21	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	30.5	15.0	24.8	1.8	27.2	125.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.7%

SAC -1.1%

SAC -4.8%

SEA +17.2%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.7	97.9	108.3	100.5
season	14.7	15.6		106.9	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	14.9	17.0	13.0	14.8
SEA	14.9	14.5	13.7	18.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	28	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-13	15	15.9	14.4	1.44	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Jabari Smith	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-21	31	11.1	15.1	-3.99	22.0	14.8	7.21
Gerald Wallace	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-21	31	11.1	15.1	-3.99	22.0	14.8	7.21
Doug Christie	69	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	15.0	14.3	0.74	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Anthony Peeler	33	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-6	1	13.5	15.5	-1.99	17.3	14.3	3.08
Tony Massenburg	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	0	-11	17.2	14.5	2.68	16.4	15.1	1.24
Mike Bibby	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.2	13.7	1.51	14.1	19.3	-5.14
Darius Songaila	33	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-10	9	13.8	15.4	-1.66	14.5	15.8	-1.26
Brad Miller	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	7	-25	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.6	19.1	-4.53
Peja Stojakovic	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	7	-25	15.2	12.7	2.58	14.7	18.8	-4.13
Bobby Jackson	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	2	-15	14.5	15.3	-0.76	16.7	13.7	3.01

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	52	50	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	0	11	15.9	14.6	1.37	15.0	14.7	0.33
Ronald Murray	57	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-4	19	16.4	13.8	2.60	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Antonio Daniels	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	0	11	16.4	14.0	2.38	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Ray Allen	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	-4	19	14.4	17.5	-3.07	14.9	14.7	0.26
Rashard Lewis	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-1	13	14.7	17.1	-2.42	15.0	14.4	0.57
Jerome James	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	3	5	17.4	14.8	2.63	15.2	14.7	0.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	11	-11	14.5	16.8	-2.30	15.3	14.1	1.24
Brent Barry	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	11	-11	14.0	16.4	-2.38	16.5	13.5	2.97
Calvin Booth	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	8	-5	13.5	16.6	-3.11	15.0	14.7	0.32
Richie Frahm	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	22.0	14.8	7.21	11.1	15.1	-3.99
Luke Ridnour	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	22.0	14.8	7.21	11.1	15.1	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,0.98,1	96.2%
GSW 106, SAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DAL 81, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%