NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	81		Excitement	4.8 [845]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +17.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.9 [392]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	12	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	0.05	13	44%	-0.06	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	12	79%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	14	34%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.4	29.0	15.0	24.1	1.8	25.3	123.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.7%

PHI +1.4%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.3	86.2	96.8	106.0
season	15.2	15.1		107.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.7	14.6	14.1	15.9	15.1
PHI	13.7	12.5	17.2	19.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	9.0	15.2	-6.18	19.5	15.3	4.17
Rodrigue Beaubois	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	9.0	15.2	-6.18	19.5	15.3	4.17
James Singleton	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	9.0	15.2	-6.18	19.5	15.3	4.17
Quinton Ross	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-14	17	9.7	15.5	-5.77	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Shawn Marion	47	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	15.0	15.1	-0.06	15.5	15.3	0.18
Erick Dampier	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	14.0	16.5	-2.52	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.1	15.0	0.02	15.3	15.7	-0.32
Jason Kidd	67	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	14.4	16.7	-2.32	15.7	14.7	1.01
Drew Gooden	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	16.5	14.0	2.52	16.1	14.9	1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.0	15.7	-0.80	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Jose Juan Barea	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	4	-19	16.4	13.6	2.79	15.5	15.3	0.23
Josh Howard	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	4	-19	16.3	13.7	2.66	14.9	16.0	-1.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	48	50	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-5	21	15.1	15.7	-0.56	16.0	14.0	2.07
Lou Williams	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	14.7	16.5	-1.80	15.4	14.5	0.98
Thaddeus Young	49	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	14.5	16.4	-1.88	15.7	14.3	1.42
Willie Green	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	2	7	15.8	15.1	0.72	16.1	14.1	2.07
Andre Iguodala	73	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	9	-7	15.9	14.0	1.91	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Jason Kapono	22	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	2	7	14.0	15.9	-1.91	15.7	14.8	0.94
Allen Iverson	57	55	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	6	-1	15.8	14.9	0.88	14.1	16.4	-2.23
Elton Brand	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	10	-9	15.9	14.8	1.12	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Jrue Holiday	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	14	-17	15.5	15.4	0.19	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Samuel Dalembert	42	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	16	-21	16.2	14.8	1.34	14.5	15.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SEA 106, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1	95.3%
MIL 97, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	95.1%