NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	4.2 [969]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +16.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	106		Comeback	1.2 [862]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -7.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	80%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	89%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	15	75%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	19	45%	-0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	57%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.00	8	81%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	72%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	21	52%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	35%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	32.2	15.7	23.6	2.0	29.5	127.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +4.6%

CHA +9.3%

CHA +15.5%

CHA +20.2%

CHA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.3	105.4	112.8	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		101.9	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	17.4	14.9	14.6	15.7
CHA	13.7	13.9	15.8	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	4.0	15.8	-11.79	12.0	15.2	-3.21
DeAndre Jordan	31	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-9	10	15.8	15.6	0.26	16.2	14.7	1.50
Craig Smith	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-9	10	15.1	15.9	-0.77	16.1	14.7	1.43
Mardy Collins	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	16.4	15.5	0.92	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Steve Blake	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.5	15.8	-0.32	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Travis Outlaw	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	15.5	16.2	-0.68	16.0	12.2	3.80
Rasual Butler	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.6	16.2	-0.57	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Drew Gooden	58	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.5	0.34	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Baron Davis	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	15.8	15.4	0.47	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Chris Kaman	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	15.9	15.1	0.77	14.6	16.7	-2.15

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-3	14	14.9	16.1	-1.22	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Stephen Jackson	85	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	0	8	14.9	17.4	-2.55	15.8	14.7	1.00
Boris Diaw	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	14.7	16.4	-1.72	15.5	16.2	-0.79
Tyson Chandler	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	5	-2	14.8	15.7	-0.90	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Gerald Wallace	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-4	16	13.9	16.2	-2.35	16.2	15.2	0.96
Tyrus Thomas	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	9	-10	16.6	14.3	2.32	16.4	15.3	1.08
Gerald Henderson	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	4	0	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.6	15.5	1.10
D.J. Augustin	28	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.1	0.01	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Theo Ratliff	28	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	16.2	14.7	1.53	16.0	15.5	0.43
Stephen Graham	31	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	15	-22	16.8	14.3	2.54	15.0	16.0	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.9%
LAC 88, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	95.6%