NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	5.0 [801]		MVP	James Harden (OKC): +13.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	1.2 [984]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -16.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	11	65%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	22	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	45%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	11	52%	0.07	7	-0.15	7	71%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.03	11	66%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	55%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	29%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	11	24%	-0.09	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	30.5	16.4	29.9	1.5	30.6	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.7%

OKC +9.4%

LAC -0.4%

OKC +10.6%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	15.3	106.1	88.8	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.2	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	13.6	12.2	15.7	13.6
LAC	14.6	16.4	17.1	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	81	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	0	17	13.0	16.7	-3.72	15.1	18.9	-3.80
Russell Westbrook	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	1	15	13.1	15.5	-2.41	15.2	17.9	-2.68
James Harden	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	6	5	14.3	12.7	1.65	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Nick Collison	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	8	1	14.1	13.4	0.71	16.4	15.3	1.09
Serge Ibaka	35	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	12	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.32	16.8	15.1	1.69
Nenad Krstic	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	5	7	13.5	14.0	-0.58	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Jeff Green	74	71	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	9	-1	14.4	11.3	3.05	16.1	14.8	1.30
Thabo Sefolosha	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	11	-5	12.7	14.3	-1.65	16.3	15.3	1.01
Eric Maynor	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	16	-15	15.5	13.1	2.41	17.9	15.2	2.68

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-13	9	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.5	12.7	2.88
Craig Smith	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-22	27	15.7	15.8	-0.10	14.9	12.7	2.18
DeAndre Jordan	25	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-9	1	17.0	15.3	1.72	12.5	14.0	-1.51
Chris Kaman	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-5	-7	16.0	15.3	0.68	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Steve Blake	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-11	5	17.2	14.6	2.63	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Drew Gooden	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	2	-21	15.0	16.9	-1.85	13.6	13.7	-0.16
Baron Davis	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-4	-9	15.4	17.0	-1.57	13.5	14.1	-0.65
Eric Gordon	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-2	-13	15.8	15.7	0.03	13.4	14.1	-0.79
Rasual Butler	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-4	-9	15.2	18.0	-2.82	13.3	15.1	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, DET 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 105, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CHH 97, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%