NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	6.3 [542]		MVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	2.9 [785]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -19.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	11	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	71%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	12	68%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Donte Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	15	59%	0.12	6	-0.31	4	25%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	14	76%	0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	26	53%	0.19	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	77%	0.14	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.5	17.4	30.0	1.8	33.2	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.2%

DAL +9.4%

SAC -11.7%

DAL +37.4%

SAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.3	106.4	114.9	106.0
season	15.2	15.2		103.7	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.6	18.1	17.6	12.5	16.0
DAL	15.4	14.0	13.2	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	18	17	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-12	16	12.3	16.9	-4.66	15.1	14.5	0.64
Garrett Temple	19	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-13	18	11.8	17.1	-5.26	15.3	14.4	0.85
Sean May	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-11	14	15.5	16.2	-0.70	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Omri Casspi	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	17.0	15.5	1.48	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Andres Nocioni	51	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-17	26	14.9	17.4	-2.49	15.5	13.5	2.07
Francisco Garcia	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-12	16	14.4	18.2	-3.82	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Ime Udoka	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-3	-2	16.7	15.7	0.92	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Spencer Hawes	35	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	5	-18	18.8	14.4	4.35	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Tyreke Evans	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	2	-12	17.0	13.2	3.80	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Beno Udrih	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	4	-16	16.7	13.9	2.84	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Carl Landry	71	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.21	-22	14	-36	16.7	14.1	2.53	14.2	15.7	-1.51

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	66	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-9	26	14.3	15.3	-0.98	16.7	14.5	2.15
Shawn Marion	58	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-5	18	14.4	14.9	-0.52	16.3	15.6	0.66
Caron Butler	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	1	6	14.9	13.9	1.05	16.4	15.2	1.15
Jose Juan Barea	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	6	-4	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.3	17.2	-1.89
Eduardo Najera	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	3	2	14.3	14.9	-0.56	16.1	15.9	0.21
Rodrigue Beaubois	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	5	-2	14.4	14.8	-0.31	16.2	15.9	0.30
Dirk Nowitzki	82	82	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	11	-14	14.8	13.5	1.26	15.9	16.7	-0.81
DeShawn Stevenson	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	15.1	14.4	0.65	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Brendan Haywood	13	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	15.8	14.4	1.45	17.1	15.9	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.72,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 84, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	92.9%
OKC 115, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.83,0.74,0.91,0.84,1	92.8%