NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	7.7 [253]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +25.3%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.8 [745]		LVP	George Hill (SAS): -18.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.18,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.01	28	58%	0.33	4	-0.13	15	67%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.03	13	69%	0.18	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	13	71%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	11	74%	0.29	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	13	60%	0.33	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.11
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.00	12	50%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.00	15	66%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	9	41%	-0.05	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.0	33.5	18.0	27.1	3.5	41.7	153.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +5.2%

SAS +27.3%

SAS +17.9%

PHX -4.5%

SAS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	15.3	111.1	115.3	106.0
season	14.4	15.9		113.5	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	15.9	14.2	14.3	14.1
SAS	13.6	14.1	16.5	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.3	13.5	1.73	15.9	14.9	1.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-13	23	13.1	19.0	-5.89	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Channing Frye	51	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-12	21	13.4	14.8	-1.46	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Steve Nash	86	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	13.3	18.8	-5.42	15.0	16.1	-1.03
Lou Amundson	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	6	-15	18.8	13.3	5.42	16.1	15.0	1.03
Robin Lopez	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	7	-17	15.1	12.9	2.18	15.5	14.9	0.60
Jared Dudley	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-2	1	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Grant Hill	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	9	-21	15.0	12.6	2.45	15.4	14.8	0.56
Jason Richardson	74	73	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.0	15.6	-0.56

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	58	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.07	15	-12	27	15.2	15.1	0.10	15.5	12.1	3.41
Richard Jefferson	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	4	-5	15.9	13.4	2.45	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Antonio McDyess	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-2	7	15.8	14.0	1.76	14.1	13.9	0.23
Manu Ginobili	68	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	15.2	15.1	0.07	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	-1	5	14.4	16.8	-2.33	13.8	14.7	-0.88
George Hill	81	83	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	8	-13	15.2	14.9	0.36	13.6	16.6	-3.06
DeJuan Blair	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	0	3	16.4	14.4	2.01	14.5	13.8	0.67
Keith Bogans	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	1	1	13.3	15.8	-2.50	13.5	14.2	-0.72
Roger Mason Jr.	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	-1	5	16.2	15.0	1.21	16.2	13.8	2.40
Matt Bonner	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	0.0	15.3	-15.34	0.0	14.1	-14.06
Malik Hairston	3	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	12	-21	0.7	15.6	-14.98	8.0	14.3	-6.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	93.8%
LAL 80, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
BOS 98, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	93.2%