NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	6.6 [468]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +19.4%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	2.4 [669]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	19	62%	0.19	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	77%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Carr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	66%	0.15	6	-0.18	15	80%	0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	-0.00	28	52%	0.24	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
John Amaechi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	58%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	33.1	15.7	29.2	2.2	42.5	148.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +1.5%

ORL +5.7%

ORL +10.9%

ORL +34.0%

BOS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.8	15.5	112.6	118.8	100.9
season	15.1	14.6		99.7	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	16.7	18.2	16.0	16.6
ORL	14.2	19.4	16.1	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	16.8	16.5	0.27	16.6	17.0	-0.41
Adrian Griffin	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	5.0	16.8	-11.78	0.0	16.8	-16.85
Antoine Walker	76	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-9	15	16.8	15.4	1.47	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Chris Carr	1	0	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	6.0	16.8	-10.77	0.0	16.8	-16.85
Randy Brown	72	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-10	17	16.4	18.0	-1.64	16.7	17.6	-0.95
Eric Williams	38	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-3	3	17.6	15.9	1.75	18.8	15.5	3.37
Bryant Stith	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	15.9	18.8	-2.85	16.1	19.2	-3.08
Doug Overton	15	14	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	7	-17	18.0	16.4	1.64	17.6	16.7	0.95
Walter McCarty	13	11	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	5	-13	15.5	16.8	-1.30	17.1	16.8	0.28
Paul Pierce	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	1	-5	16.9	14.7	2.20	17.1	15.3	1.81
Vitaly Potapenko	48	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	3	-9	16.5	16.8	-0.32	16.2	17.7	-1.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	19	21	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-12	27	17.7	16.6	1.08	16.7	16.6	0.09
Monty Williams	22	25	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-9	21	16.8	16.9	-0.10	15.2	17.2	-2.03
Andrew DeClercq	21	23	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-9	21	18.1	16.4	1.66	17.4	16.4	1.02
Tracy McGrady	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	5	-7	17.1	12.2	4.94	16.9	14.4	2.50
Pat Garrity	30	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	-2	7	19.9	15.2	4.72	17.2	16.3	0.91
Bo Outlaw	67	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	6	-9	16.4	18.7	-2.31	16.7	16.5	0.15
Michael Doleac	56	57	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	7	-11	15.3	19.9	-4.58	16.4	17.0	-0.59
John Amaechi	63	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.23	-9	12	-21	16.4	18.2	-1.86	16.4	17.2	-0.78
Darrell Armstrong	66	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	13	-23	16.6	17.7	-1.08	16.5	17.2	-0.79
Mike Miller	1	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	28.0	16.7	11.29	25.0	16.4	8.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,1	93.5%
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHX 110, SAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.85,1	93.2%