NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	6.7 [266]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +19.8%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	2.2 [182]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -20.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Hammonds	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	19	37%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	15	38%	-0.12	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.04
Sam Mitchell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	21	45%	-0.06	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	0.00	16	32%	-0.10	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.00	10	70%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.07	-0.03	8	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.05	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
John Starks	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	7	37%	-0.08	2	-0.05	16	56%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	6	12%	-0.12	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	7	30%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	30.2	15.5	26.2	2.6	40.4	144.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.0%

GSW +2.8%

MIN -7.7%

MIN -2.0%

MIN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.8	90.1	95.7	99.6
season	15.0	15.9		98.6	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		98.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	16.3	19.0	14.8	15.7
GSW	15.0	15.7	14.6	17.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-7	7	22.8	15.3	7.51	16.5	15.6	0.94
Dean Garrett	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-10	13	15.0	16.3	-1.32	15.5	15.7	-0.28
Bobby Jackson	74	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-9	11	15.2	18.1	-2.90	15.8	14.9	0.88
Andrae Patterson	17	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-4	1	18.9	15.0	3.91	16.9	15.3	1.66
Tom Hammonds	18	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	2	-11	16.8	15.4	1.41	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Joe Smith	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-7	7	15.0	18.3	-3.30	15.8	14.8	1.02
Reggie Jordan	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	17.9	14.8	3.16	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Kevin Garnett	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.5	16.9	-1.47	15.7	15.1	0.66
Sam Mitchell	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	4	-15	16.3	15.0	1.37	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Anthony Peeler	72	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	2	-11	14.8	19.0	-4.17	15.8	14.7	1.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	78	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-7	21	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.2	18.3	-3.07
Adonal Foyle	37	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-8	23	15.7	15.6	0.12	18.5	14.0	4.51
Tony Delk	41	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-4	15	14.8	16.2	-1.43	16.9	14.9	1.96
Erick Dampier	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	16.5	13.9	2.60	14.6	18.2	-3.68
Donyell Marshall	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	15.3	16.6	-1.28	13.9	21.5	-7.58
Terry Cummings	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	3	1	14.6	16.1	-1.49	17.9	14.6	3.34
Antawn Jamison	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	7	-7	16.1	15.4	0.66	20.0	14.0	6.02
Bimbo Coles	55	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	10	-13	15.5	15.8	-0.36	14.6	17.5	-2.94
Felton Spencer	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	15.7	15.6	0.12	20.1	15.3	4.81
John Starks	56	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	17	-27	16.0	15.0	1.04	14.8	17.1	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	93.5%
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	92.6%