NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.4 [323]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +23.1%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	2.3 [695]		LVP	David West (NOH): -31.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.02	13	83%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	76%	0.17	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.10	0.01	15	50%	0.16	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	7	44%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	56%	-0.00	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	12	86%	0.25	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	9	44%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.03,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	23	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.03	16	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.19	-0.12	-0.00	9	25%	-0.15	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	29.0	15.8	27.2	2.4	30.6	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.8%

UTA +11.9%

NOH -6.0%

NOH -8.5%

NOH -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.3	100.0	92.8	106.0
season	15.3	15.5		109.5	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	14.5	13.1	19.2	15.1
NOH	13.1	16.2	12.6	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	15.6	14.2	1.37	14.6	14.1	0.46
Paul Millsap	64	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	15.9	13.6	2.35	15.4	12.6	2.81
Kyle Korver	32	33	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	15.2	15.0	0.14	15.5	13.9	1.53
CJ Miles	35	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	2	4	17.9	13.5	4.43	17.1	13.0	4.03
Ronnie Price	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	1	6	16.3	14.3	2.04	14.8	14.2	0.66
Deron Williams	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	14.3	16.3	-2.04	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Wesley Matthews	21	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	0	8	13.9	15.4	-1.57	15.5	14.2	1.33
Andrei Kirilenko	58	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	13	-18	14.5	15.9	-1.45	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Mehmet Okur	70	68	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	13.9	18.1	-4.17	13.4	16.9	-3.55
Ronnie Brewer	50	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	14.2	16.0	-1.74	12.6	16.4	-3.80

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	16.2	14.1	2.16	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Emeka Okafor	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-11	14	13.5	15.7	-2.15	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Morris Peterson	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-5	2	13.5	15.4	-1.89	14.1	16.0	-1.85
Marcus Thornton	52	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-5	2	15.8	12.9	2.90	16.0	14.0	2.02
Darius Songaila	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	15.1	13.6	1.51	16.0	14.0	1.98
Darren Collison	85	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.1	16.7	-2.54	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Peja Stojakovic	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	13.5	18.5	-4.98	14.1	19.5	-5.40
James Posey	43	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	16.2	13.0	3.21	17.1	13.6	3.51
David West	53	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	1	-10	14.2	14.8	-0.64	14.9	15.4	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.14,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	92.8%
ATL 114, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.01,0	92.8%
POR 93, NJN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.36,0.15,0,0	92.5%