NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	7.6 [308]		MVP	Dontonio Wingfield (POR): +12.3%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	2.1 [343]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -27.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dontonio Wingfield	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	4	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.05
Aaron McKie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Isaiah Rider	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	17	42%	-0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	19	42%	-0.08	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.04	-0.02	16	41%	0.04	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	10	15%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	14	47%	-0.04	6	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.09	0.01	12	39%	-0.14	5	-0.14	9	78%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	25.7	14.6	28.2	2.4	40.5	137.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.3%

POR +30.0%

NJN -15.9%

POR +19.7%

POR +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.6	96.9	88.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		105.2	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	13.0	15.5	14.7	14.8
NJN	15.5	13.7	16.5	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	72	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	14.3	16.4	-2.12	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Kenny Anderson	80	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	0	8	14.8	14.7	0.16	15.3	14.6	0.70
Dontonio Wingfield	51	46	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-1	10	15.6	13.9	1.72	16.4	14.0	2.41
Isaiah Rider	82	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-5	18	15.0	13.9	1.05	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Chris Dudley	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	4	0	15.2	12.7	2.56	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Gary Trent	54	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	3	2	15.4	14.1	1.21	15.7	14.4	1.33
Arvydas Sabonis	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.9	14.6	2.28	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Aaron McKie	30	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	13	-18	14.3	15.0	-0.71	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Mitchell Butler	21	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	12	-16	10.9	15.9	-5.02	13.0	16.0	-2.93

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	13.5	15.7	-2.29	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Ed O'Bannon	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-11	14	15.3	15.1	0.28	15.0	14.7	0.31
Tony Massenburg	11	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	17.4	14.9	2.47	14.9	14.8	0.09
Kerry Kittles	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	15.5	14.7	0.78	15.0	14.4	0.61
Reggie Williams	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.9	14.2	1.74
Kendall Gill	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-6	4	14.8	15.9	-1.05	14.4	15.8	-1.47
Shawn Bradley	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.2	-0.10	15.0	14.3	0.71
Robert Pack	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.3	15.7	-1.38	13.6	15.6	-1.95
Khalid Reeves	46	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	2	-12	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Jayson Williams	81	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	15.6	12.9	2.66	15.3	12.0	3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.36,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	93.2%
NJN 86, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.06,0.13,0	92.6%
UTA 98, NOH 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.14,0.02,0	92.5%