NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	8.1 [210]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): +19.8%
New Jersey Nets	116		Comeback	2.3 [70]		LVP	James Robinson (LAC): -14.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.01	17	71%	0.24	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	16	71%	0.27	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	60%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Keith Closs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.05	10	69%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.05
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
James Robinson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.15	0.02	-0.17	0.00	6	67%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.21

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	5	90%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.11
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	0.04	14	56%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.01	14	60%	0.06	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.06
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	15	62%	-0.01	3	-0.08	12	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	26.2	14.8	25.2	2.5	43.0	138.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.7%

NJN -7.2%

LAC +18.4%

LAC +0.8%

LAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.6	125.3	119.6	102.5
season	15.5	15.6		101.0	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.5	15.1	16.4	15.7
NJN	12.6	15.6	14.9	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	93	94	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	5	-7	15.8	13.0	2.78	13.8	29.0	-15.18
Maurice Taylor	35	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	2	-1	14.9	16.2	-1.29	14.5	14.2	0.28
Rodney Rogers	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	3	-3	15.2	16.7	-1.57	14.1	14.6	-0.55
Darrick Martin	66	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	-2	7	15.4	16.4	-0.99	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Eric Piatkowski	30	31	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-8	19	17.3	15.0	2.35	16.5	13.3	3.23
Brent Barry	83	85	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	3	-3	15.4	18.2	-2.89	13.9	17.2	-3.28
James Robinson	30	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	3	-3	15.9	15.7	0.21	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Keith Closs	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-8	19	16.0	15.4	0.63	14.8	13.6	1.26
Stojko Vrankovic	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	13	-23	16.7	15.4	1.37	13.7	14.5	-0.78

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	54	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-9	15	13.3	15.6	-2.32	16.0	15.4	0.66
David Benoit	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-4	5	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.8	15.2	1.59
Sherman Douglas	88	87	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-3	3	14.0	16.9	-2.87	15.9	14.2	1.61
Jayson Williams	88	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	14.1	15.8	-1.64	15.8	15.1	0.68
Michael Cage	15	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	8	-19	16.2	13.9	2.26	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Keith Van Horn	88	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	14.0	17.1	-3.11	15.4	18.2	-2.76
Kerry Kittles	71	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	14.8	12.8	2.02	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Kendall Gill	49	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.49	-7	4	-11	15.9	12.7	3.21	15.4	16.1	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.07,0,0.02,0	93.9%
PHI 105, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.2%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	92.9%