NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	7.0 [395]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +13.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	2.7 [99]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -33.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	20	74%	0.29	6	-0.20	10	80%	0.03
Dion Glover	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.03
Jermaine Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.01	10	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	7	76%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	8	59%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	11	37%	-0.06	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.00	27	39%	-0.22	3	-0.11	10	60%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.5	15.4	23.4	2.4	46.6	143.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.3%

ATL +23.0%

PHI -9.9%

PHI -8.5%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.5	114.0	102.9	101.6
season	15.1	15.3		99.5	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	16.6	13.8	13.6	14.4
PHI	12.6	16.2	15.5	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	66	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.18	19	-10	29	14.9	13.5	1.39	15.5	11.1	4.40
Glenn Robinson	85	85	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-10	29	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.5	11.9	2.66
Dion Glover	82	84	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	14.9	12.4	2.48	14.8	10.9	3.90
Jason Terry	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	14.1	15.9	-1.76	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	8	-7	14.8	12.5	2.28	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Jermaine Jackson	24	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	12.5	15.0	-2.47	12.7	14.6	-1.89
Alan Henderson	46	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	10	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.46	13.5	14.6	-1.17
Darvin Ham	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	13	-17	10.0	14.6	-4.56	9.2	14.3	-5.05
Ira Newble	28	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	16	-23	14.3	14.5	-0.19	11.7	15.0	-3.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	50	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	14.0	14.2	-0.23	13.0	15.9	-2.92
Aaron McKie	65	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-14	19	13.4	15.4	-1.97	14.5	14.3	0.16
Kenny Thomas	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-10	11	13.3	15.8	-2.50	14.6	14.1	0.53
Greg Buckner	22	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.2	13.8	1.38	14.8	14.3	0.45
Tyrone Hill	45	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	14.3	14.0	0.30	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Allen Iverson	96	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	13.7	21.2	-7.51	14.5	13.3	1.16
Eric Snow	89	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	3	-15	14.4	12.0	2.40	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Derrick Coleman	74	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.20	-15	6	-21	15.3	10.8	4.52	15.6	11.3	4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 80, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.16,0	92.8%
UTA 98, NOH 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.14,0.02,0	92.8%
CHI 108, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.02,0	92.7%