NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	7.9 [256]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +27.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	4.2 [965]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -25.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	18	74%	0.30	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Ron Harper	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	5	79%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	87%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	11	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	24	43%	-0.05	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	9	10%	-0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.08	0.02	23	77%	0.39	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	12	58%	-0.00	5	-0.13	9	89%	0.03
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	9	35%	-0.09	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.18	-0.09	-0.02	18	36%	-0.13	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	22.4	16.3	29.4	1.7	36.2	132.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.3%

PHI -10.1%

CHI +6.6%

CHI +11.9%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.6	112.5	109.5	104.4
season	15.5	14.7		110.5	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.1		108.4	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	14.9	13.3	16.8	14.9
PHI	13.6	17.0	15.5	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-9	22	14.5	16.1	-1.62	15.5	14.6	0.85
Dennis Rodman	82	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-6	16	14.6	16.4	-1.82	15.6	13.7	1.92
Scottie Pippen	82	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-4	12	14.4	17.4	-2.99	14.8	17.7	-2.83
Luc Longley	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.4	16.4	-1.92
Steve Kerr	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	0	4	16.0	13.8	2.17	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Ron Harper	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	1	2	14.2	15.5	-1.31	15.8	14.8	0.99
Bill Wennington	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-4	12	13.5	15.7	-2.20	16.1	14.8	1.24
Jud Buechler	9	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	5	-6	16.0	14.8	1.24	15.4	15.3	0.09
Jason Caffey	21	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	15	-26	18.0	14.0	3.94	15.6	15.2	0.43
Randy Brown	29	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	17	-30	16.0	14.4	1.56	14.7	15.5	-0.86

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Walters	20	20	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-13	22	15.7	15.2	0.59	17.8	14.1	3.76
Michael Cage	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.13	11	-15	26	14.9	15.5	-0.60	18.0	13.7	4.23
Doug Overton	24	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	15.4	15.2	0.18	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Mark Davis	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-2	0	15.1	15.4	-0.28	16.2	13.7	2.58
Clar. Weatherspoon	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	15.5	13.3	2.16	15.0	14.2	0.78
Scott Williams	48	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	7	-18	16.2	14.4	1.78	13.0	16.9	-3.87
Allen Iverson	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.18	15.1	14.2	0.92
Derrick Coleman	80	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	4	-12	14.8	18.1	-3.30	14.2	18.9	-4.75
Jerry Stackhouse	75	76	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	9	-22	15.2	15.7	-0.59	14.1	17.8	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 114, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.01,0	92.7%
PHI 110, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.05,0	92.0%
HOU 108, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%