NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	3.7 [1046]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +22.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -13.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.16	-0.01	0.07	18	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	14	53%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	71%	0.06	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	4	92%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	6	42%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.03	0.02	31	68%	0.35	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.04
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	61%	0.06	5	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	27.3	15.6	23.6	2.7	27.3	122.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.7%

CLE +9.3%

CLE +4.9%

NYK -3.0%

CLE +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.3	115.2	122.8	106.0
season	14.7	16.1		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		103.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	14.6	12.1	16.2	13.9
CLE	14.5	16.1	17.9	22.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-12	17	14.3	13.6	0.72	20.2	16.0	4.22
Nate Robinson	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-12	17	14.0	13.5	0.47	17.8	16.1	1.74
Jared Jeffries	68	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	13.8	14.0	-0.18	17.9	16.0	1.86
Chris Duhon	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-10	13	14.7	12.7	2.04	19.2	15.1	4.13
Al Harrington	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-6	5	13.9	13.8	0.12	19.4	14.8	4.62
David Lee	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	5	-17	13.6	14.3	-0.72	16.0	20.2	-4.22
Wilson Chandler	57	55	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	11	-29	13.5	14.5	-1.09	15.1	20.8	-5.69
Danilo Gallinari	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	14	-35	13.4	15.0	-1.58	15.5	22.2	-6.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	83	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	3	1	17.6	15.7	1.96	13.9	13.6	0.27
Daniel Gibson	76	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-1	9	17.2	18.4	-1.14	14.3	12.2	2.05
Anthony Parker	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	0	7	16.4	19.4	-2.99	14.2	13.1	1.12
Anderson Varejao	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	19.5	14.2	5.28	14.4	13.1	1.32
Jamario Moon	32	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	19.4	16.4	3.07	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	6	-5	19.2	16.5	2.74	13.1	14.3	-1.26
Jawad Williams	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	5	-3	17.4	17.4	0.01	14.0	13.8	0.16
Shaquille O'Neal	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	2	3	16.2	19.1	-2.95	13.9	13.9	-0.01
JJ Hickson	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	2	3	14.2	19.3	-5.12	12.7	14.6	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.97,0.95,1	95.2%
OKC 104, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.91,1	94.7%
TOR 95, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.84,1	94.5%