NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	9.1 [109]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +105.7%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	12.1 [14]		LVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): -18.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	1.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.11,0.37,1.06	0.09	0.92	-0.05	22	60%	1.10	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.07
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	58%	0.19	4	-0.16	10	90%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.10	-0.13	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.21	2	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.74	0.74	0.04	0.66	-0.03	10	60%	0.74	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	-0.04	14	59%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.10
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.11	-0.02	17	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	13	41%	-0.13	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.3	16.0	32.7	1.5	39.9	144.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +67.7%

WAS +7.5%

WAS +25.6%

ORL -51.2%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.3	93.9	91.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.4		102.6	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		101.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	18.3	13.0	14.3	15.1
ORL	11.4	16.0	15.2	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	65	64	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.64	2	-1	3	14.5	16.2	-1.77	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Randy Foye	72	75	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.57	3	-2	5	14.4	16.9	-2.47	14.6	12.3	2.28
Caron Butler	89	91	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.59	-2	3	-5	14.6	19.6	-4.94	13.8	16.8	-3.02
Antawn Jamison	81	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	3	-5	15.0	15.4	-0.34	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Mike Miller	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.55	-5	6	-11	14.7	15.6	-0.95	13.4	14.8	-1.38
DeShawn Stevenson	14	15	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-8	17	14.3	15.2	-0.92	12.9	14.2	-1.37
Nick Young	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	-2	5	19.6	14.6	4.94	16.8	13.8	3.02
JaVale McGee	14	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	1	-1	17.8	14.6	3.17	15.0	13.8	1.15
Andray Blatche	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	0	1	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.5	13.8	0.72
Earl Boykins	26	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	2	-3	16.9	14.4	2.47	12.3	14.6	-2.28
Dominic McGuire	29	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.14	-3	4	-7	16.2	14.6	1.66	15.9	13.3	2.54

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	28	28	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.29	-3	2	-5	14.4	13.9	0.50	16.7	14.4	2.25
Ryan Anderson	25	25	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.16	1	-2	3	14.7	13.8	0.92	16.7	14.5	2.21
JJ Redick	44	45	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.17	0	-1	1	14.6	13.6	1.04	14.8	15.3	-0.58
Marcin Gortat	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.18	-9	8	-17	14.9	13.9	1.04	18.4	14.5	3.92
Jameer Nelson	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.55	11	-12	23	13.5	14.9	-1.40	14.8	15.5	-0.77
Jason Williams	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	11	-23	14.9	13.5	1.40	15.5	14.8	0.77
Matt Barnes	62	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-4	7	13.5	14.9	-1.35	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Vince Carter	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.58	1	-2	3	14.0	14.1	-0.14	15.2	14.7	0.52
Rashard Lewis	75	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.63	-2	1	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.92	14.5	16.7	-2.21
Dwight Howard	85	83	-0.95	0.46	-1.41	-1.10	5	-6	11	13.9	14.9	-1.06	14.6	17.5	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.42,0	88.6%
NOP 114, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.03,0	88.1%
MIN 99, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.29,0	88.1%