NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	7.7 [316]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +20.0%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	12.3 [36]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (CHI): -33.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	17	57%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Zach LaVine	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	18	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	0.04	-0.12	0.04	12	62%	-0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	21	35%	-0.02	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	22	51%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33	-0.33	-0.10	-0.22	0.01	13	37%	-0.25	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.5	28.5	16.4	25.5	3.4	33.4	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.7%

MIN +1.4%

MIN +33.0%

CHI -18.7%

CHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	14.8	104.2	102.2	107.7
season	15.3	15.1		109.3	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.0	14.0	17.6	15.3
CHI	14.8	16.3	16.0	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	68	66	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	14.6	16.8	-2.17	16.1	14.2	1.83
Gorgui Dieng	71	71	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.27	15	-10	25	14.8	16.5	-1.71	16.3	13.1	3.11
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	15.1	16.0	-1.00	15.8	14.4	1.44
Andrew Wiggins	77	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-7	19	14.6	18.0	-3.38	16.1	13.3	2.76
Zach LaVine	84	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	15.6	13.0	2.56	15.9	12.6	3.30
Shabazz Muhammad	29	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.9	1.21	13.0	16.6	-3.60
Nemanja Bjelica	20	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	12	-19	16.0	15.1	1.00	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Cole Aldrich	24	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	15	-25	16.5	14.8	1.71	13.1	16.3	-3.11
Kris Dunn	27	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	16.8	14.6	2.17	14.2	16.1	-1.83

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	28	31	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.08	11	-16	27	14.0	16.2	-2.22	18.1	13.9	4.16
Nikola Mirotic	40	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	13.7	16.9	-3.22	16.4	14.3	2.03
Jerian Grant	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.1	14.5	2.66	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Doug McDermott	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-3	1	14.6	16.8	-2.17	16.3	13.9	2.39
Dwyane Wade	63	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.66	17	-22	39	14.6	17.6	-2.93	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Taj Gibson	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	16.9	13.7	3.22	14.3	16.4	-2.03
Isaiah Canaan	49	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	7	-19	15.2	15.9	-0.64	16.4	14.0	2.40
Jimmy Butler	74	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.21	-15	10	-25	16.4	12.1	4.34	14.9	16.9	-2.04
Robin Lopez	64	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.27	-16	11	-27	16.2	14.0	2.22	13.9	18.1	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.42,0	90.7%
MEM 88, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	89.5%
POR 92, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.42,0	89.4%