inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 115 Excitement6.1 [582] MVPDeJuan Blair (SAS): +16.3%
Sacramento Kings 113 Comeback1.6 [769] LVPOmri Casspi (SAC): -7.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeJuan Blair0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.120.040.001180%0.232-0.06367%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.130,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.030.031463%0.1300.00786%0.02
Manu Ginobili0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.001265%0.154-0.08771%-0.02
Antonio McDyess0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.01650%0.0600.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.010.05786%0.081-0.0300%0.00
George Hill0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.001656%0.093-0.069100%0.03
Michael Finley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.03-0.001440%0.012-0.04250%-0.00
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.0210%-0.041-0.0000%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.03-0.00771%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jon Brockman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.001100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00386%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Donte Greene0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01967%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Sean May00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03560%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.15-0.020.141871%0.084-0.10978%0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.021462%0.104-0.1210%-0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.021739%-0.041-0.02450%-0.03
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011233%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.431.314.722.22.539.6140.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.3%
SAS +2.1%
SAS +11.2%
SAS +3.5%
SAS +9.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game15.414.915.3119.8120.2106.0
season15.915.2108.2103.7
opponent15.015.1108.5103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.414.618.014.315.4
SAC15.914.817.112.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili60580.62-0.120.740.2413-112414.916.2-1.2715.014.70.31
George Hill82810.420.080.340.3620215.614.41.1714.914.50.40
Tim Duncan53530.300.200.110.078-61417.013.43.6015.713.81.96
Antonio McDyess39360.270.230.050.2511016.814.52.2615.714.41.27
DeJuan Blair46470.260.240.030.173-1414.816.0-1.1115.614.21.38
Matt Bonner16160.170.33-0.150.035-3813.415.8-2.4613.615.2-1.59
Keith Bogans60600.160.34-0.170.28-46-1015.914.61.2614.715.2-0.55
Richard Jefferson74720.140.36-0.210.52-1315-2815.814.01.7914.715.4-0.63
Roger Mason Jr.22210.130.37-0.230.0820215.515.40.0414.615.0-0.40
Michael Finley28260.000.50-0.490.21-79-1611.017.2-6.2012.315.9-3.56

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hilton Armstrong770.16-0.660.81-0.057-91616.314.81.5214.315.5-1.23
Sean May54-0.03-0.470.440.03-20-215.214.90.3312.715.5-2.79
Ime Udoka2223-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-1015.214.80.4514.815.6-0.79
Donte Greene7174-0.11-0.390.28-0.4010-122214.815.0-0.1515.614.80.79
Sergio Rodriguez3434-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-31-415.114.80.2813.416.5-3.12
Spencer Hawes5759-0.23-0.270.03-0.21-1-1015.514.01.4617.112.84.26
Tyreke Evans7677-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.465-71214.615.9-1.2415.714.21.52
Omri Casspi6163-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.31-20-214.415.8-1.4915.914.51.48
Andres Nocioni3232-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-42-613.415.6-2.1913.616.4-2.80
Kevin Martin7779-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-31-414.815.2-0.4315.415.6-0.20
Jon Brockman2828-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-1614-3016.614.22.4015.415.5-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 106, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,093.9%
ATL 77, CHH 710.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,093.4%
IND 103, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.4%