NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	6.7 [446]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +24.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	2.2 [574]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -20.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.24	0.07	0.15	-0.02	14	61%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Haislip	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	19%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	8	25%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.19	0.08	-0.26	0.02	17	64%	0.03	3	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	18	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	12	58%	0.05
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	16	25%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.4	28.9	15.7	23.2	1.8	36.1	138.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -6.8%

MEM +21.7%

MEM +14.5%

MEM +21.0%

SAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.3	89.6	98.9	106.0
season	15.9	15.4		108.2	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.3	16.2	15.8	12.1	15.2
MEM	15.5	14.4	16.2	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Haislip	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-10	14	12.0	15.6	-3.57	17.8	14.9	2.87
Theo Ratliff	15	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-2	-2	18.7	14.6	4.14	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Richard Jefferson	38	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-7	8	17.8	13.6	4.26	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Ian Mahinmi	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.7	15.1	0.60	13.1	16.2	-3.10
DeJuan Blair	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-13	20	14.8	15.6	-0.80	16.7	13.8	2.89
Manu Ginobili	56	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	14.5	16.3	-1.86	14.4	16.2	-1.83
Roger Mason Jr.	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	5	-16	15.7	14.9	0.76	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Tony Parker	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.3	-0.04	16.5	13.2	3.24
Tim Duncan	65	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.8	16.2	-1.36	15.6	14.5	1.14
Keith Bogans	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	14.6	16.5	-1.89	16.5	12.7	3.74
George Hill	60	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	14.9	15.7	-0.82	14.1	17.1	-3.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	41	44	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-6	18	13.5	16.6	-3.17	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Sam Young	32	34	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-4	14	15.3	15.2	0.12	15.7	15.0	0.77
Rudy Gay	73	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	2	2	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Marc Gasol	59	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	2	2	15.9	14.0	1.95	16.1	13.7	2.43
Mike Conley	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	6	-6	16.2	13.0	3.15	14.3	17.2	-2.90
O.J. Mayo	76	78	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.36	-5	11	-16	15.7	13.2	2.52	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Jamaal Tinsley	27	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	0	6	13.0	16.2	-3.15	17.2	14.3	2.90
Zach Randolph	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	11	-16	16.5	12.2	4.25	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Hasheem Thabeet	20	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	5	-4	12.7	15.9	-3.23	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Lester Hudson	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	3	0	10.8	15.5	-4.69	20.8	14.9	5.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,0.98,1	93.8%
DET 96, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.8%
UTA 102, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.9,0.9,0.72,1	93.6%