NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.7 [148]		MVP	Sundiata Gaines (UTA): +82.8%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	116.7 [9]		LVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): -17.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.60	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.09,0.39,0.6	0.17	0.49	0.05	20	69%	0.76	5	-0.16	12	67%	-0.06
Jawad Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	6	55%	-0.04	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Mo Williams	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.83	0.83	0.08	0.74	-0.01	3	100%	0.84	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	4	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	18	44%	0.08	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	0.03	-0.20	0.01	8	65%	0.02	2	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	30.4	19.8	28.4	2.6	57.1	168.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.2%

UTA +3.2%

CLE -3.2%

UTA +15.2%

UTA +12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.3	100.0	100.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.3		109.5	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	17.4	14.9	13.4	14.9
UTA	15.3	17.7	17.1	10.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	74	72	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.30	-3	2	-5	15.5	12.8	2.72	14.7	15.7	-1.01
JJ Hickson	31	31	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-5	9	15.3	14.7	0.60	16.5	14.2	2.24
Jawad Williams	43	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-8	15	14.6	15.2	-0.52	15.2	14.7	0.55
LeBron James	84	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	14.0	21.7	-7.71	14.6	16.9	-2.27
Shaquille O'Neal	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	2	-5	14.3	15.4	-1.12	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Anthony Parker	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-4	7	13.1	18.2	-5.14	13.8	16.9	-3.02
Anderson Varejao	70	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	10	-21	15.5	13.5	2.00	14.7	15.6	-0.97
Delonte West	40	42	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.79	-7	6	-13	16.3	13.9	2.41	16.0	14.1	1.81
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	38	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.85	-7	6	-13	15.9	14.3	1.59	16.0	14.2	1.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	34	34	1.53	-1.03	2.56	1.12	14	-13	27	12.4	16.3	-3.92	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Sundiata Gaines	21	20	1.41	-0.91	2.32	1.12	10	-9	19	11.3	15.9	-4.59	14.3	15.1	-0.72
Mehmet Okur	60	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.78	-1	2	-3	15.9	13.3	2.64	13.5	17.1	-3.57
Ronnie Price	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	3	-5	15.7	14.4	1.24	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Kyle Korver	33	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	2	-3	14.2	15.3	-1.08	13.4	15.6	-2.10
Andrei Kirilenko	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	16.8	13.6	3.27	15.4	14.6	0.83
Deron Williams	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	15.9	14.3	1.55	15.3	14.7	0.57
Ronnie Brewer	55	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	9	-17	17.0	12.3	4.70	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Paul Millsap	56	55	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.36	3	-2	5	13.7	16.6	-2.96	15.8	13.8	2.03
Wesley Matthews	33	35	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.32	1	0	1	12.2	16.3	-4.16	15.8	14.4	1.44
Carlos Boozer	76	76	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.28	-3	4	-7	15.4	13.4	1.97	15.7	11.8	3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.78,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.53,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.42,1	90.0%
NOP 94, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.42,1	89.2%
POR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.42,1	88.9%