inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 101 Excitement8.8 [166] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +73.2%
Chicago Bulls 103 Comeback3.4 [678] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -15.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.150.030.120.00862%0.202-0.05520%-0.12
Jared Jeffries0.120,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.35,0.120.090.040.01881%0.231-0.1000%0.00
Billy Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.010.03-0.03-0.011650%0.031-0.01887%0.02
Michael Ruffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.03-0.032038%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Etan Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.031-0.0320%-0.02
Gilbert Arenas-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.003248%0.015-0.131173%-0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.730.730.210.51-0.011886%0.905-0.171100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.00450%0.0700.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.001357%0.173-0.124100%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.001647%0.0200.002100%0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.013100%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00267%0.011-0.0320%-0.04
Luke Schenscher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.0010%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Michael Sweetney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.05-0.01617%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.14-0.001751%0.053-0.213100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.643.817.628.33.733.6155.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +67.0%
WAS -2.1%
CHI +15.9%
WAS -30.8%
CHI +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHINBAWASCHINBA
this game16.513.315.6105.2106.2104.4
season15.114.4107.4102.6
opponent16.115.6102.1105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.515.016.518.316.5
CHI14.012.212.914.413.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas3434-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-1015.317.2-1.9613.513.20.31
Billy Thomas1918-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-2215.016.9-1.919.714.2-4.43
Antawn Jamison8990-0.12-0.380.27-0.327-91616.023.3-7.2913.413.00.36
Michael Ruffin3940-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-75-1217.715.72.0412.613.9-1.28
Gilbert Arenas8990-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.452-4616.220.1-3.9013.510.72.82
Antonio Daniels9495-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-2216.615.51.0513.57.06.46
Brendan Haywood6263-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-1-1017.215.31.9613.213.5-0.31
Jared Jeffries5455-0.710.21-0.93-0.42-108-1817.515.32.2114.511.92.60

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon68690.60-0.100.700.5420213.014.1-1.1516.117.7-1.68
Tyson Chandler38390.59-0.090.670.1814-122614.012.91.1019.214.74.42
Andres Nocioni82830.480.020.460.4511013.214.2-1.0316.715.51.15
Luol Deng71680.480.020.450.393-1413.512.80.7116.915.71.10
Kirk Hinrich84830.410.090.320.44-13-413.810.43.4016.218.4-2.14
Michael Sweetney45420.080.42-0.340.26-68-1412.913.7-0.7814.618.0-3.36
Malik Allen20210.070.43-0.360.0702-213.413.30.0915.816.7-0.92
Jannero Pargo1413-0.020.52-0.550.01-13-411.313.7-2.3915.816.6-0.79
Chris Duhon3434-0.040.54-0.57-0.123-1413.313.3-0.0618.315.62.68
Luke Schenscher43-0.070.57-0.630.02-35-815.713.22.5216.316.5-0.20
Othella Harrington2525-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-24-613.213.4-0.1815.117.0-1.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.53,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 104, MIA 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.42,190.1%
CLE 96, UTA 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.78,0.26,190.0%
TOR 100, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.42,189.9%