NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	8.8 [166]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +73.2%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	3.4 [678]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -15.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	8	62%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.12
Jared Jeffries	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.35,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	8	81%	0.23	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	20	38%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	32	48%	0.01	5	-0.13	11	73%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.73	0.73	0.21	0.51	-0.01	18	86%	0.90	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	57%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	16	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	17	51%	0.05	3	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	43.8	17.6	28.3	3.7	33.6	155.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +67.0%

WAS -2.1%

CHI +15.9%

WAS -30.8%

CHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	13.3	15.6	105.2	106.2	104.4
season	15.1	14.4		107.4	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.6		102.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.5	15.0	16.5	18.3	16.5
CHI	14.0	12.2	12.9	14.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	15.3	17.2	-1.96	13.5	13.2	0.31
Billy Thomas	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.0	16.9	-1.91	9.7	14.2	-4.43
Antawn Jamison	89	90	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-9	16	16.0	23.3	-7.29	13.4	13.0	0.36
Michael Ruffin	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	5	-12	17.7	15.7	2.04	12.6	13.9	-1.28
Gilbert Arenas	89	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	16.2	20.1	-3.90	13.5	10.7	2.82
Antonio Daniels	94	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-2	2	16.6	15.5	1.05	13.5	7.0	6.46
Brendan Haywood	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	17.2	15.3	1.96	13.2	13.5	-0.31
Jared Jeffries	54	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	17.5	15.3	2.21	14.5	11.9	2.60

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	0	2	13.0	14.1	-1.15	16.1	17.7	-1.68
Tyson Chandler	38	39	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-12	26	14.0	12.9	1.10	19.2	14.7	4.42
Andres Nocioni	82	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	13.2	14.2	-1.03	16.7	15.5	1.15
Luol Deng	71	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-1	4	13.5	12.8	0.71	16.9	15.7	1.10
Kirk Hinrich	84	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	13.8	10.4	3.40	16.2	18.4	-2.14
Michael Sweetney	45	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	8	-14	12.9	13.7	-0.78	14.6	18.0	-3.36
Malik Allen	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	13.4	13.3	0.09	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Jannero Pargo	14	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	3	-4	11.3	13.7	-2.39	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Chris Duhon	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	-1	4	13.3	13.3	-0.06	18.3	15.6	2.68
Luke Schenscher	4	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	15.7	13.2	2.52	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Othella Harrington	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	13.2	13.4	-0.18	15.1	17.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.53,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.42,1	90.1%
CLE 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.78,0.26,1	90.0%
TOR 100, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.42,1	89.9%