inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 108 Excitement5.1 [779] MVPHedo Turkoglu (TOR): +10.9%
Orlando Magic 103 Comeback2.0 [190] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -13.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.110.060.04-0.021261%0.141-0.03450%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.01786%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.080.000.03483%0.0600.004100%0.01
Jose Calderon0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.01-0.04462%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.01768%0.124-0.08887%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.011653%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Sonny Weems0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1-0.05-0.030.021260%0.066-0.166100%0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.090.090.11-0.010.011569%0.153-0.065100%0.02
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01375%0.061-0.022100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.020.020.10-0.020.061456%0.0200.001191%0.05
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.030.041262%0.0200.002100%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01741%0.0100.003100%0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02557%0.021-0.024100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.040.021065%0.099-0.221155%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.029.216.531.21.845.0152.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +54.2%
ORL -10.2%
TOR +5.8%
ORL -2.1%
TOR +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game15.715.115.3116.1109.6106.0
season15.015.4109.6110.1
opponent15.915.5101.9111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.813.618.116.615.7
ORL15.815.814.614.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli36370.56-0.060.63-0.0521-163714.616.4-1.7514.415.5-1.09
Hedo Turkoglu74740.470.030.440.296-1715.915.10.8315.513.61.90
Andrea Bargnani59600.420.080.350.0413-82115.016.9-1.8515.414.50.93
Jarrett Jack66640.360.140.220.39-16-715.715.70.0614.416.6-2.26
Jose Calderon46480.310.190.130.1750515.615.8-0.2415.514.70.74
Antoine Wright31330.170.33-0.160.1414-316.615.31.3114.815.3-0.52
Sonny Weems23250.130.37-0.240.19-27-915.615.7-0.1314.015.5-1.44
DeMar DeRozan38370.120.38-0.260.0914-315.615.8-0.2715.514.80.64
Chris Bosh74730.000.50-0.490.44-1520-3516.413.13.2714.915.6-0.67
Amir Johnson1819-0.050.55-0.610.06-49-1315.815.70.1517.114.62.45

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass23210.06-0.560.630.012-7915.714.90.7415.015.9-0.86
Jason Williams3431-0.15-0.350.200.06-72-915.914.61.2816.015.60.39
Marcin Gortat1010-0.18-0.320.140.05-83-1120.314.55.8214.715.8-1.13
Matt Barnes6564-0.20-0.300.11-0.4910-152515.514.11.4416.314.41.93
Mickael Pietrus3130-0.21-0.290.090.03-83-1115.814.71.0615.715.7-0.01
Vince Carter6162-0.22-0.280.07-0.427-121914.616.1-1.4915.516.1-0.63
Dwight Howard7374-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.435-101514.317.9-3.5615.915.20.69
Jameer Nelson6062-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.412-7914.615.9-1.2815.616.0-0.39
JJ Redick5756-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.33-50-514.815.6-0.7815.615.8-0.21
Rashard Lewis7877-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-83-1115.015.6-0.6416.113.92.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.29,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 88, DET 740.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.4%
NYK 99, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
BOS 96, OKC 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.5%