NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	4.4 [947]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +8.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	83		Comeback	2.0 [993]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -11.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	14	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	17	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	20	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	42%	-0.00	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.7	38.6	21.0	24.2	2.5	25.4	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.2%

BOS +5.1%

BOS +9.6%

BOS +7.2%

OKC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.5	102.1	89.2	106.4
season	15.8	14.9		108.3	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	13.8	15.9	19.6	16.2
OKC	15.1	13.9	14.7	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	79	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-7	27	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Leon Powe	35	37	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-5	23	15.1	16.9	-1.72	14.9	14.3	0.58
Kendrick Perkins	65	63	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	4	5	15.6	17.5	-1.87	14.7	14.3	0.45
Rajon Rondo	64	63	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	9	-5	15.8	17.1	-1.34	14.8	14.1	0.69
Eddie House	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	6	1	17.1	15.8	1.35	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Ray Allen	74	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	16.5	15.0	1.49	14.7	14.0	0.73
Glen Davis	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	9	-5	17.5	15.6	1.87	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Tony Allen	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.95	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Kevin Garnett	58	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	16	-19	16.9	15.2	1.67	14.3	14.9	-0.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-10	7	11.2	15.0	-3.84	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Russell Westbrook	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.3	0.64	17.1	15.7	1.42
Damien Wilkins	18	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-6	-1	17.4	13.9	3.56	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Kevin Durant	63	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-12	11	14.2	15.3	-1.13	16.2	16.2	0.07
Chris Wilcox	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	14.7	14.4	0.23	16.2	16.2	0.03
Johan Petro	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	15.0	14.3	0.69	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Joe Smith	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	14.8	14.3	0.43	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Earl Watson	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	15.1	14.1	1.00	15.8	16.7	-0.84
Desmond Mason	47	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.1	14.1	1.00	15.2	17.2	-1.97
Jeff Green	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-7	1	13.7	16.1	-2.38	17.2	14.6	2.61
Nick Collison	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	13.9	15.2	-1.31	16.7	15.8	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 123, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NJN 90, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%
HOU 120, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%