inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Excitement3.3 [1125] MVPAndrew Bogut (MIL): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets 76 Comeback1.8 [626] LVPDevin Harris (NJN): -11.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bogut0.100,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.01-0.001275%0.132-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.000.021168%0.1000.003100%0.01
Francisco Elson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00267%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jodie Meeks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01955%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01550%0.0100.00475%0.01
Brandon Jennings0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02850%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05946%0.032-0.021070%-0.00
Charlie Bell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Redd-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00941%-0.012-0.044100%0.01

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.01867%0.101-0.022100%-0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01658%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.010.051265%0.072-0.051080%-0.01
Brook Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00655%0.052-0.04887%0.02
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03570%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.0440%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.021225%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.02436%-0.025-0.09683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.027.515.824.62.528.4126.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +13.8%
MIL +7.1%
MIL +9.3%
MIL +14.7%
MIL +5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILNJNNBAMILNJNNBA
this game14.816.615.3106.583.5106.0
season15.515.9103.398.7
opponent15.015.5108.3101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.716.614.016.714.8
NJN14.516.917.318.416.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Delfino71690.62-0.120.73-0.3232-104214.914.70.2317.015.41.62
Hakim Warrick58580.390.110.27-0.171931615.314.11.1116.916.10.81
Luke Ridnour44450.350.150.21-0.171841415.514.31.1617.415.91.51
Michael Redd57560.290.210.07-0.011012-214.415.6-1.2615.219.0-3.79
Brandon Jennings51500.250.25-0.010.04715-813.416.6-3.1815.817.7-1.86
Kurt Thomas39390.230.27-0.04-0.091111015.114.70.3517.116.30.72
Andrew Bogut43420.220.28-0.05-0.04913-414.315.3-1.0216.616.60.01
Jodie Meeks18180.040.46-0.41-0.04319-1617.414.23.1619.216.03.15
Francisco Elson10100.040.46-0.41-0.01220-1816.414.71.7415.016.8-1.84
Luc Mbah a Moute37350.040.46-0.430.04022-2215.114.70.4416.716.60.12
Ersan Ilyasova25260.030.47-0.450.06-123-2414.015.1-1.1116.316.8-0.46
Charlie Bell770.000.50-0.500.00022-2216.314.71.5617.416.60.86

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Williams880.00-0.500.500.000-222217.716.51.2216.614.71.95
Trenton Hassell1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-222217.316.60.7416.714.62.13
Bobby Simmons1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-222217.316.60.7416.714.62.13
Jarvis Hayes2930-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-171214.417.7-3.2614.914.80.03
Tony Battie1818-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-161018.716.12.5314.914.80.05
Yi Jianlian5760-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-3-191616.716.60.0815.413.81.54
Chris Douglas-Roberts5050-0.28-0.22-0.070.10-13-9-417.715.32.3614.715.0-0.24
Devin Harris7172-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.09-7-15816.019.0-3.0314.715.3-0.64
Eduardo Najera2928-0.35-0.15-0.190.30-220-2216.616.7-0.1313.415.5-2.09
Brook Lopez6867-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-9-416.018.5-2.4614.715.4-0.70
Courtney Lee7372-0.38-0.12-0.270.17-19-3-1616.716.50.1715.014.30.64
Keyon Dooling3233-0.43-0.07-0.350.22-220-2217.915.91.9613.915.4-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 101, DAL 850.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,096.2%
UTA 111, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DET 106, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.8%