inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement3.5 [1123] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +10.6%
Dallas Mavericks 85 Comeback1.6 [377] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -14.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.01-0.041556%0.1100.004100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.01-0.02967%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Elden Campbell0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.01-0.04955%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.001463%0.061-0.001080%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.01-0.051146%0.031-0.02650%-0.03
Lindsey Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02383%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Darko Milicic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.02736%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Horace Jenkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Ben Wallace-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02842%-0.024-0.07367%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.03-0.061243%0.042-0.02425%-0.03
Erick Dampier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01769%0.052-0.04250%-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00962%0.022-0.013100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.041035%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02325%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00831%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02533%-0.042-0.0320%-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.012442%-0.1400.001694%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.031.216.325.42.529.5130.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +47.4%
DET +2.5%
DET +2.0%
DAL -3.1%
DET +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game16.214.315.5108.688.5104.0
season16.714.9103.5108.2
opponent15.515.9103.498.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.617.616.216.616.2
DAL16.014.513.213.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace68710.410.090.320.1788015.518.2-2.7514.413.90.54
Richard Hamilton75780.370.130.230.34115-1416.316.10.2114.214.4-0.20
Rasheed Wallace65660.340.160.17-0.041331016.515.51.0414.913.01.91
Tayshaun Prince57590.300.200.100.0788015.817.0-1.2215.212.82.44
Chauncey Billups67710.270.230.04-0.111331016.814.72.1314.314.20.11
Elden Campbell47460.260.240.020.09610-416.416.00.4513.714.8-1.08
Carlos Delfino43440.240.26-0.01-0.05106416.815.71.0913.115.3-2.24
Lindsey Hunter29310.170.33-0.17-0.16115616.216.2-0.0814.014.4-0.37
Horace Jenkins12110.140.36-0.21-0.0988014.616.5-1.8913.314.4-1.14
Darko Milicic230.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1216.016.2-0.2312.314.3-2.01

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris26250.06-0.560.62-0.054-202412.215.1-2.8616.216.20.02
DJ Mbenga320.00-0.500.500.06-2-141212.314.3-2.0116.016.2-0.23
Alan Henderson97-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-141215.614.11.4118.616.02.54
Erick Dampier4039-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-202414.514.10.3716.715.90.89
Calvin Booth3232-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-8012.115.4-3.3315.616.6-1.01
Marquis Daniels3734-0.23-0.270.040.01-8-8016.512.93.5915.716.5-0.77
Shawn Bradley3736-0.24-0.260.020.14-13-3-1014.114.4-0.2415.117.0-1.91
Jason Terry3837-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.20-2-141214.214.3-0.0716.316.20.16
Darrell Armstrong5250-0.28-0.22-0.060.02-10-6-414.613.90.7717.015.31.72
Josh Howard7271-0.34-0.16-0.190.04-13-3-1015.012.22.7616.614.91.72
Dirk Nowitzki8381-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-11614.214.9-0.7416.414.81.60
Jerry Stackhouse5151-0.47-0.03-0.450.26-259-3413.814.8-0.9815.317.3-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 111, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.5%
MIL 98, NJN 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
MIL 112, CHA 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%