NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	3.6 [1053]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +12.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.6 [348]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -10.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.02	9	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	25	70%	0.18	7	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	48%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	11	69%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	71%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Haywoode Workman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	17	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	13	60%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.08	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.6	26.8	15.8	24.3	1.6	28.2	120.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.9%

MIL -3.5%

UTA +4.8%

UTA +8.2%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.2	119.4	107.5	101.7
season	16.3	14.9		104.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	15.5	15.2	18.8	16.6
MIL	16.1	14.5	13.1	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	1	9	17.3	14.6	2.72	14.4	14.0	0.43
Jeff Hornacek	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	16.1	18.2	-2.18	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Karl Malone	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	5	1	16.5	17.0	-0.54	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Howard Eisley	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	4	3	17.6	15.8	1.78	15.4	13.5	1.93
John Stockton	76	76	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	7	-3	16.6	16.7	-0.07	14.5	13.6	0.83
Greg Ostertag	52	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	9	-7	16.6	16.8	-0.20	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Olden Polynice	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	0	11	16.3	16.8	-0.51	15.5	13.7	1.75
Pete Chilcutt	25	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	6	-1	17.0	16.5	0.54	15.5	13.9	1.54
Scott Padgett	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	12	-13	15.6	17.2	-1.60	13.3	14.9	-1.54

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Haywoode Workman	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-13	15	16.2	14.0	2.12	14.1	17.0	-2.94
Robert Traylor	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-11	11	14.7	14.2	0.55	17.4	16.4	0.98
Danny Manning	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.0	2.08	16.7	16.6	0.03
Ervin Johnson	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-5	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.50	15.4	17.6	-2.17
Tim Thomas	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	14.0	14.7	-0.77	17.2	16.0	1.25
Vinny Del Negro	16	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	2	-15	18.2	13.5	4.67	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Dale Ellis	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	14.3	14.3	0.02	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Ray Allen	82	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-8	5	13.8	18.0	-4.17	16.7	16.0	0.72
J.R. Reid	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	14.9	13.6	1.34	17.4	15.7	1.70
Glenn Robinson	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	14.1	15.1	-1.07	16.8	16.3	0.51
Sam Cassell	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	13.4	17.2	-3.75	16.8	16.2	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHI 106, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DET 113, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%