NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	3.5 [1087]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +16.3%
Phoenix Suns	124		Comeback	1.9 [1096]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -11.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	16	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.05	5	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	8	25%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	53%	-0.00	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	9	90%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.01	0.08	15	70%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	10	67%	0.12	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	65%	-0.03	5	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.7	31.1	19.7	28.1	3.6	31.3	143.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.9%

PHX +4.2%

LAC -7.5%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.3	94.9	127.8	106.0
season	15.5	14.4		101.9	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	15.8	14.2	15.3	15.2
PHX	14.4	12.4	15.2	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	26	25	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.16	-4	-27	23	14.9	15.4	-0.48	16.4	13.6	2.83
Steve Novak	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-29	27	14.9	15.3	-0.43	15.6	14.0	1.56
Mardy Collins	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-28	25	12.2	15.8	-3.58	15.6	14.0	1.51
Marcus Camby	21	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-28	25	16.0	15.0	0.97	14.4	14.3	0.08
Ricky Davis	29	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.23	-12	-19	7	16.7	14.6	2.07	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Sebastian Telfair	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.27	-15	-16	1	15.5	15.1	0.38	15.0	13.8	1.24
Craig Smith	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-18	5	16.4	14.6	1.77	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Chris Kaman	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-12	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.64	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Baron Davis	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-12	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.32	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Eric Gordon	66	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	-10	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.00	14.3	14.3	0.04
Rasual Butler	69	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-12	-7	15.3	15.1	0.24	13.9	15.3	-1.45
Al Thornton	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	-6	-19	15.5	14.9	0.65	14.0	14.7	-0.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.34	27	4	23	13.4	15.4	-1.95	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Steve Nash	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	12	7	14.1	14.5	-0.37	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.33	22	9	13	14.5	14.0	0.45	15.0	15.7	-0.77
Jason Richardson	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	15	1	14.0	14.6	-0.59	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Grant Hill	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	18	-5	12.9	15.9	-2.99	16.2	14.2	2.04
Channing Frye	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	15	1	14.2	14.4	-0.24	15.2	15.2	0.01
Goran Dragic	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	15	1	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.3	15.2	0.05
Lou Amundson	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.21	12	19	-7	15.1	13.7	1.45	15.5	15.1	0.38
Leandro Barbosa	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	20	-9	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.8	14.8	1.02
Robin Lopez	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	28	-25	16.2	13.8	2.39	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Earl Clark	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	31	-31	17.1	13.8	3.35	15.2	15.2	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 84, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CLE 67, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%