NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	67		Excitement	3.7 [1042]		MVP	Damon Jones (SAC): +7.4%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.4 [1219]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -19.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	38%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.21	-0.01	-0.12	22	27%	-0.09	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	17	40%	-0.08	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.06	10	90%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	8	71%	0.01	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	9	33%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.01	13	30%	-0.10	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	606.5	2.6	-690.4	15.4	25.4	2.5	23.2	-14.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.6%

SAC +2.4%

CLE -4.3%

SAC +11.0%

SAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.7	15.5	70.5	100.0	101.6
season	15.1	14.0		94.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	14.9		98.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	16.0	19.5	14.5	16.7
SAC	12.2	12.3	13.3	17.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-24	21	12.3	17.6	-5.30	15.7	13.3	2.34
DeSagana Diop	40	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-25	23	16.6	16.8	-0.24	14.8	13.0	1.79
Darius Miles	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.37	-19	-8	-11	17.2	15.7	1.44	13.6	14.1	-0.47
Carlos Boozer	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.28	-16	-11	-5	14.9	17.4	-2.49	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Bimbo Coles	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-19	11	17.7	15.3	2.39	13.7	13.8	-0.16
Milt Palacio	34	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.31	-20	-7	-13	16.6	16.8	-0.11	13.8	13.7	0.16
Tyrone Hill	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-22	17	17.0	16.2	0.82	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Michael Stewart	35	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-5	-17	17.1	16.5	0.68	11.8	14.9	-3.10
Jumaine Jones	60	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-8	-11	16.5	17.0	-0.50	14.5	12.3	2.27
Ricky Davis	84	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.15	-21	-6	-15	16.9	15.1	1.84	13.4	16.3	-2.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.40	27	0	27	13.6	14.1	-0.51	17.3	14.8	2.47
Bobby Jackson	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	6	15	12.3	16.2	-3.87	17.8	14.8	2.99
Chris Webber	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.18	19	8	11	12.6	15.4	-2.78	18.0	14.7	3.34
Peja Stojakovic	64	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	15	-3	13.5	14.3	-0.82	17.8	14.4	3.43
Vlade Divac	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.16	14	13	1	13.0	14.5	-1.56	19.0	14.4	4.57
Gerald Wallace	46	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.14	13	14	-1	14.5	13.0	1.56	14.4	19.0	-4.57
Keon Clark	46	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.14	13	14	-1	14.5	13.0	1.56	14.4	19.0	-4.57
Damon Jones	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	19	-11	15.6	12.4	3.19	15.0	18.0	-3.01
Scot Pollard	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	19	-11	15.4	12.6	2.78	14.7	18.0	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 93, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIL 88, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%