NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	8.9 [126]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +43.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	14.9 [117]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -31.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.44	-0.07	0.50	-0.01	14	50%	0.58	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.01	13	71%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.03	0.16	-0.11	0.02	12	84%	0.18	1	-0.15	1	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	5	40%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	15	43%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	5	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.01	12	65%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	85%	0.12	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	16	66%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.00	9	56%	-0.06	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	9	33%	-0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	13	34%	-0.12	3	-0.20	6	17%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.0	29.3	15.6	26.1	2.6	37.2	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +89.8%

MIN -4.1%

MIN -82.0%

NOH +47.1%

MIN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.3	104.3	103.2	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		106.0	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.3	16.3	14.9	19.4	15.6
MIN	13.4	11.4	15.7	24.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	72	74	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-6	13	15.8	14.8	1.09	15.9	13.5	2.38
Darius Songaila	37	35	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-7	15	15.2	15.9	-0.64	16.7	14.6	2.16
James Posey	37	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	2	-3	17.5	14.4	3.08	17.3	14.1	3.21
Emeka Okafor	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	0	1	14.8	17.8	-3.06	14.1	18.7	-4.56
Peja Stojakovic	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-3	7	15.4	16.3	-0.93	16.1	13.4	2.74
Darren Collison	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	4	-7	16.4	15.2	1.23	17.4	14.5	2.90
Marcus Thornton	48	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	1	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.73	14.4	16.3	-1.94
David West	56	58	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	8	-15	15.9	15.2	0.64	14.6	16.7	-2.16
Devin Brown	38	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	1	-1	15.5	15.7	-0.13	14.1	16.3	-2.13
Hilton Armstrong	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	5	-9	14.1	15.8	-1.74	12.4	15.8	-3.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	66	66	0.72	-1.22	1.94	0.37	12	-13	25	16.4	12.8	3.59	16.2	14.3	1.89
Ramon Sessions	30	29	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-12	23	14.2	15.9	-1.77	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Sasha Pavlovic	13	15	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-8	15	11.4	16.0	-4.63	13.3	16.0	-2.71
Wayne Ellington	38	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-3	5	16.1	14.9	1.16	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Ryan Hollins	25	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	7	-15	13.2	16.2	-2.96	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Ryan Gomes	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	2	-5	15.9	14.0	1.95	16.1	14.5	1.58
Kevin Love	57	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	0	-1	14.6	16.6	-1.94	15.8	15.3	0.44
Corey Brewer	68	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	9	-19	16.2	13.0	3.24	16.5	13.1	3.34
Damien Wilkins	38	37	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.57	-3	2	-5	14.3	16.1	-1.86	14.7	16.2	-1.54
Jonny Flynn	63	64	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	11	-23	15.9	14.2	1.77	15.7	15.3	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.3,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.46,0.83,0.73,0	89.8%
DEN 99, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0	89.8%
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	89.5%