NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	9.2 [132]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +31.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	8.8 [218]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -22.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.31	0.07	0.24	0.00	14	56%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	5	91%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.01	-0.03	0.06	0.01	22	46%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.03	9	79%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Laprovittola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Davis Bertans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15	0.01	-0.16	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	8	6%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	14	61%	0.26	2	-0.12	10	100%	0.06
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.11	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.11	-0.00	12	65%	0.12	2	-0.16	10	90%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	57%	0.03	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.15	-0.02	10	55%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	30.3	14.8	36.3	2.4	34.6	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +7.9%

MIL -18.1%

SAS +48.4%

SAS +9.4%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIL	NBA	SAS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	13.3	14.8	99.0	100.0	107.7
season	15.4	14.9		110.1	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.0	15.6	14.7	17.6	16.4
MIL	12.8	11.5	14.0	15.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	71	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.56	13	-12	25	17.1	14.5	2.66	13.4	13.0	0.34
Manu Ginobili	42	41	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.58	9	-8	17	15.5	17.0	-1.48	13.3	13.3	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	51	46	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.63	3	-2	5	15.0	17.8	-2.77	13.8	12.8	1.07
Kawhi Leonard	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	16.7	15.8	0.93	13.7	12.6	1.13
Danny Green	39	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.47	-5	6	-11	16.7	16.2	0.54	12.6	13.8	-1.19
Dewayne Dedmon	29	27	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-5	11	15.6	16.7	-1.11	14.5	12.8	1.66
Nicolas Laprovittola	18	17	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-8	17	14.8	16.7	-1.95	13.9	13.2	0.72
Patty Mills	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	3	-5	16.8	16.0	0.79	13.7	13.0	0.77
Davis Bertans	18	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	13.8	16.9	-3.17	13.1	13.3	-0.28
Kyle Anderson	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	6	-11	18.1	16.2	1.91	11.4	13.5	-2.09
Tony Parker	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	7	-13	17.0	16.0	1.03	12.6	13.8	-1.22
David Lee	20	19	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.11	-10	11	-21	17.1	16.2	0.92	11.8	13.7	-1.87
Pau Gasol	55	55	-0.68	1.18	-1.85	-0.41	-9	10	-19	17.2	15.3	1.81	13.0	13.6	-0.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	41	41	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.38	2	-3	5	13.3	13.3	0.09	16.8	16.1	0.71
Michael Beasley	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	0	-1	13.0	13.4	-0.35	15.7	16.6	-0.86
Jason Terry	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-2	3	12.6	13.6	-1.02	17.0	16.1	0.91
Malcolm Brogdon	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	5	-11	13.2	13.3	-0.08	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Mirza Teletovic	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-6	11	13.3	13.3	0.01	17.5	15.6	1.91
John Henson	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	0	-1	13.2	13.4	-0.19	16.8	15.8	1.05
Matthew Dellavedova	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-6	11	13.3	13.2	0.08	16.7	15.8	0.87
Tony Snell	69	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	1	-3	13.6	12.6	1.02	16.1	17.0	-0.91
Jabari Parker	67	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	4	-9	13.6	12.7	0.91	16.0	17.3	-1.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	60	62	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.75	-3	2	-5	13.1	13.6	-0.42	15.7	17.6	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.46,0.83,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0	90.6%
MEM 103, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.58,0	90.0%
CHH 91, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0	89.9%