inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement8.7 [146] MVPRashard Lewis (ORL): +24.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Comeback9.1 [286] LVPVince Carter (ORL): -11.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.240,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.240.090.160.02974%0.261-0.0210%-0.03
Dwight Howard0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.140.020.120.001562%0.276-0.131050%-0.08
Brandon Bass0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.01480%0.121-0.052100%0.01
Jason Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.050.10-0.040.01775%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
JJ Redick-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.03-0.00560%0.042-0.07540%-0.07
Matt Barnes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00250%0.011-0.0500%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.0350%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter-0.120,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.13,0,0.01,-0.11-0.02-0.10-0.012349%-0.043-0.07580%-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.070.070.040.03-0.001850%0.0700.00450%-0.10
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.03-0.011257%0.0400.004100%0.02
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01750%0.082-0.04475%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.030.030.06-0.030.001565%0.143-0.111100%0.01
Charlie Bell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00450%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00731%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.012241%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.426.616.422.51.737.0131.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +40.9%
MIL -4.6%
ORL +35.2%
MIL -26.5%
ORL +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game15.216.815.3109.9110.1106.0
season15.415.5110.1103.3
opponent15.515.9101.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.113.816.217.115.2
MIL15.316.221.714.916.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter66640.72-0.220.940.4310-81815.414.80.6316.617.2-0.61
Dwight Howard73730.61-0.110.720.3210-81815.115.8-0.7017.513.73.72
Rashard Lewis56560.56-0.060.630.367-51215.814.31.4318.414.24.21
JJ Redick55540.53-0.030.560.327-51214.616.2-1.6117.016.50.47
Jason Williams63630.340.160.17-0.0112-102214.816.1-1.3318.013.84.17
Brandon Bass19180.200.30-0.09-0.007-51214.115.5-1.4814.417.4-3.02
Matt Barnes12120.100.40-0.300.27-68-1416.315.11.2816.816.80.04
Anthony Johnson2726-0.070.57-0.650.22-1012-2215.815.00.8513.818.0-4.17
Marcin Gortat1816-0.110.61-0.720.12-810-1815.815.10.7013.717.5-3.72
Mickael Pietrus5048-0.110.61-0.730.09-79-1615.614.70.8916.816.80.03
Ryan Anderson1615-0.270.77-1.030.09-1214-2614.715.3-0.6513.917.4-3.53

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jodie Meeks22250.05-0.550.60-0.157-91614.317.6-3.3515.015.3-0.30
Dan Gadzuric890.01-0.510.510.06-20-215.716.9-1.1513.015.5-2.46
Charlie Bell6465-0.18-0.320.15-0.294-61017.215.81.3315.115.5-0.39
Kurt Thomas5254-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-3417.815.32.5215.514.90.60
Carlos Delfino5456-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-119-2016.117.9-1.8915.215.20.08
Hakim Warrick4345-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.20-53-815.917.6-1.7214.216.2-2.02
Ersan Ilyasova7574-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-4616.717.4-0.6615.912.13.81
Luke Ridnour6061-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.583-5817.116.20.8315.315.00.28
Brandon Jennings6766-0.550.05-0.60-0.29-97-1617.614.33.3515.315.00.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.81,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 86, SAS 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,089.7%
OKC 108, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.15,089.5%
MIA 98, DEN 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.42,089.5%