NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	8.2 [242]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +18.0%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	7.7 [69]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -30.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.00	8	64%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.02
Dion Waiters	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	6	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Roberson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.13,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	21	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	14	79%	0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.25,-0.34,-0.3	-0.16	-0.13	0.01	30	39%	-0.18	5	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	20	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	25	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.13	-0.03	22	57%	0.12	7	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.8	32.6	17.6	30.7	3.6	36.3	153.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +5.4%

OKC +21.2%

OKC +14.0%

OKC +12.6%

GSW -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.2	14.9	101.9	97.1	105.1
season	14.4	13.7		111.5	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	12.7	12.8	17.6	14.0
GSW	13.4	12.1	13.9	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	81	82	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-13	32	13.8	15.0	-1.25	13.6	12.0	1.60
Kevin Durant	101	100	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	14.0	15.6	-1.63	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Dion Waiters	65	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	3	0	14.4	13.5	0.87	13.3	13.1	0.25
Russell Westbrook	90	90	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-2	10	13.6	16.4	-2.74	13.0	14.5	-1.42
Enes Kanter	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	14.7	13.7	0.95	13.6	13.1	0.52
Serge Ibaka	77	78	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	6	-6	14.4	13.2	1.20	13.1	13.7	-0.56
Randy Foye	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	7	-8	15.1	13.7	1.41	14.0	13.0	1.07
Andre Roberson	49	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	13.4	14.6	-1.19	12.5	13.8	-1.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-7	8	10.9	13.5	-2.59	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Festus Ezeli	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-4	2	13.0	13.3	-0.31	11.8	14.5	-2.75
Andrew Bogut	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	0	-6	14.0	12.8	1.16	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Draymond Green	88	90	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	13.3	12.9	0.37	13.6	16.4	-2.74
Harrison Barnes	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	12.7	14.4	-1.69	15.6	11.0	4.57
Andre Iguodala	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	13.4	12.9	0.46	14.2	13.8	0.41
Stephen Curry	89	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	0	-6	13.0	14.4	-1.40	13.4	17.7	-4.29
Shaun Livingston	45	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	2	-10	13.0	13.4	-0.36	12.9	14.9	-2.03
Marreese Speights	11	11	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	3	-12	14.5	13.1	1.45	16.9	13.7	3.19
Klay Thompson	83	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-3	0	13.7	11.5	2.15	14.8	11.0	3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	91.4%
WAS 85, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	91.2%
CHI 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.09,0	91.1%