NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	7.4 [321]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +26.3%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	6.9 [124]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -10.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	13	62%	0.21	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Derrick Rose	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.09	0.02	19	57%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	7	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	15	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	14	36%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.04	-0.00	14	87%	0.30	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.03	-0.03	20	60%	0.24	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	19	59%	0.13	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	18	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	29.4	16.7	25.3	2.4	35.8	138.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.5%

CHI +15.0%

CHI +9.8%

CHI +6.5%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	15.3	119.8	112.4	106.0
season	14.7	14.7		101.9	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	13.9	13.5	15.5	14.3
NYK	15.0	14.3	18.4	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	14.4	13.7	0.76	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Tyrus Thomas	45	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	6	-6	14.0	14.6	-0.52	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Taj Gibson	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-6	18	14.1	14.7	-0.59	16.2	14.4	1.80
Luol Deng	79	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-2	10	14.8	12.3	2.47	15.7	14.8	0.91
Brad Miller	70	73	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	1	4	15.3	11.7	3.61	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Jannero Pargo	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-1	8	12.8	15.2	-2.44	15.9	15.3	0.62
James Johnson	17	18	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	8	-10	12.3	14.8	-2.47	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Derrick Rose	77	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	8	-10	14.9	12.0	2.90	15.6	15.3	0.29
Chris Richard	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	11.2	15.0	-3.82	14.2	15.8	-1.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-6	6	14.7	15.8	-1.08	11.4	15.1	-3.77
Jared Jeffries	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	15.4	15.5	-0.17	17.5	13.9	3.63
Danilo Gallinari	78	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-10	14	15.4	15.8	-0.34	14.3	14.5	-0.22
David Lee	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	15.7	14.9	0.84	14.7	13.0	1.63
Jordan Hill	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	1	-8	16.0	15.3	0.72	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Toney Douglas	58	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	16.3	14.4	1.85	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Wilson Chandler	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.8	16.9	-2.08	15.4	11.9	3.48
Al Harrington	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.3	16.5	-1.16	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Chris Duhon	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.0	0.72	14.6	13.6	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.03,0,0	93.1%
SAC 107, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	92.2%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%