NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	141		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +25.7%
New York Knicks	127		Comeback	3.0 [422]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -6.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.26	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.21	0.10	0.05	12	84%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	14	69%	0.18	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,-0.04,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.02	0.05	21	65%	0.11	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	74%	0.09	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	57%	0.06	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Rodney Carney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.24	0.10	0.16	23	74%	0.27	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.02	0.06	22	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.17	0.01	9	39%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	35%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.07	11	72%	0.03	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	13	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	22.4	17.5	31.8	2.0	43.2	2.4	13.5	161.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.5%

PHI +17.1%

PHI +18.8%

PHI +3.8%

NYK -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.3	129.4	116.5	106.0
season	15.1	14.7		104.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.9	15.2	16.2	14.2	13.2	15.3
NYK	13.1	13.6	13.2	15.2	14.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	74	74	0.91	-0.41	1.33	-0.05	33	-19	52	15.3	15.5	-0.20	14.2	12.9	1.30
Marreese Speights	62	62	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	0	14	15.4	15.3	0.13	13.6	14.1	-0.42
Lou Williams	86	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-7	28	14.9	17.0	-2.04	14.6	10.9	3.69
Andre Iguodala	93	93	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-5	24	15.1	17.1	-2.01	13.9	13.4	0.53
Thaddeus Young	91	91	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	15.5	14.7	0.82	14.0	12.9	1.12
Samuel Dalembert	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	9	-4	16.6	14.8	1.80	15.0	13.2	1.79
Willie Green	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	20	-26	16.2	15.2	1.04	13.6	13.9	-0.30
Rodney Carney	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	20	-26	16.7	15.2	1.48	12.5	14.0	-1.49
Jason Kapono	49	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.02	-12	26	-38	14.4	16.1	-1.78	12.5	14.9	-2.46
Royal Ivey	24	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.12	-9	23	-32	16.5	15.0	1.42	10.9	14.6	-3.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	78	77	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.03	9	-23	32	13.4	14.8	-1.42	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Darko Milicic	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-19	24	11.2	14.9	-3.63	15.8	15.2	0.64
Wilson Chandler	81	84	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-17	20	14.0	13.3	0.68	15.7	14.1	1.59
Nate Robinson	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-11	8	12.2	14.9	-2.72	17.0	14.3	2.76
Jared Jeffries	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.33	-20	6	-26	14.5	13.6	0.92	16.9	14.7	2.17
Larry Hughes	85	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.35	3	-17	20	13.3	15.5	-2.20	14.7	17.3	-2.57
Chris Duhon	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	14.9	12.2	2.72	14.3	17.0	-2.76
Danilo Gallinari	85	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	6	-26	14.6	11.2	3.30	14.9	16.8	-1.94
David Lee	45	46	-1.07	0.57	-1.65	-0.02	-36	22	-58	15.1	12.9	2.15	15.8	15.0	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.68,0.21,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 123, OKC 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	90.2%
TOR 120, WAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.53,0.29,0.06,0.02,0	88.4%
ORL 112, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.04,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.15,0	88.3%