NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	6.8 [523]		MVP	Danny Green (TOR): +13.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.2 [538]		LVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): -21.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	-0.00	-0.02	10	85%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.10	-0.00	21	72%	0.21	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.04,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	19	51%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	0.07	-0.11	0.03	16	64%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.14	0.13	29	64%	0.28	8	-0.17	8	62%	-0.02
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	14	54%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.07	-0.03	10	40%	-0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	7	29%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	16	35%	-0.18	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	14	28%	-0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	29.2	15.4	31.3	2.8	34.3	1.8	14.3	157.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.8%

TOR +9.6%

TOR +3.9%

OKC -5.4%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	OKC	NBA	TOR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.2	14.3	110.8	100.0	109.3
season	14.3	12.9		111.5	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	13.4	16.5	13.8	17.1	14.7	15.1
OKC	13.8	12.4	13.3	11.7	16.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	91	93	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	14.7	16.7	-2.00	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Fred VanVleet	82	85	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	15.9	13.0	2.90	13.1	13.4	-0.31
Marc Gasol	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-2	13	15.8	14.2	1.58	13.7	12.5	1.15
Kawhi Leonard	85	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	0	9	16.2	11.6	4.56	13.5	12.2	1.24
OG Anunoby	32	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	1	7	12.9	16.0	-3.05	12.9	13.3	-0.34
Norman Powell	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	13.1	16.2	-3.13	13.3	13.1	0.17
Jeremy Lin	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	13.1	16.0	-2.83	13.0	13.3	-0.22
Serge Ibaka	50	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	11	-13	14.2	15.8	-1.58	12.5	13.7	-1.15
Patrick McCaw	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	15.8	15.0	0.73	13.7	13.1	0.57
Danny Green	64	66	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.07	-14	23	-37	16.5	13.1	3.40	12.5	14.1	-1.55

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-7	5	14.0	13.0	1.08	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Markieff Morris	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	14.6	12.8	1.85	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Abdel Nader	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-5	1	13.2	13.2	0.02	13.8	15.5	-1.75
Dennis Schroder	83	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-9	9	13.1	13.5	-0.37	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Paul George	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	13.0	13.6	-0.62	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Jerami Grant	88	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	12.8	14.6	-1.85	15.1	15.1	0.04
Steven Adams	84	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-5	1	13.2	13.2	-0.02	15.8	13.1	2.71
Terrance Ferguson	71	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	5	-19	13.5	12.6	0.97	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Russell Westbrook	95	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.0	14.3	-1.36	15.2	14.5	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 112, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.08,0	91.5%
DET 112, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.16,0	90.8%
PHI 141, NYK 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.68,0.21,0.03,0,0	90.2%