inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 112 Excitement8.0 [231] MVPTony Battie (CLE): +4.1%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback1.9 [450] LVPDrew Gooden (ORL): -22.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00867%0.051-0.012100%0.00
LeBron James0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0.04,0.020.03-0.01-0.011965%0.315-0.28887%0.05
Kevin Ollie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01050%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
Jason Kapono-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00450%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Dajuan Wagner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.060.011353%-0.052-0.03475%-0.01
Carlos Boozer-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.1,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.09-0.021650%-0.072-0.02250%-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.09-0.041758%0.025-0.131486%0.03
Eric Williams-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01617%-0.083-0.0600%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Penigar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.06,0.020.02-0.070.08-0.013245%0.041-0.021377%0.14
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01375%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.020.02968%0.062-0.061100%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01757%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.02837%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00739%-0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.0000%-0.042-0.0420%-0.04
Juwan Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.04-0.120.051154%-0.153-0.064100%0.04
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22-0.220.01-0.200.031164%0.033-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.026.615.825.42.539.52.319.5158.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +35.6%
ORL -17.1%
CLE +31.2%
ORL -5.7%
CLE +6.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEORLNBACLEORLNBA
this game15.514.815.7107.7100.9100.5
season15.715.799.8100.9
opponent15.415.5108.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE14.017.214.917.312.615.5
ORL16.114.914.512.717.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James97990.54-0.040.570.337-2915.318.6-3.2714.814.9-0.09
Tony Battie35330.490.010.480.316-1716.415.11.2816.214.12.13
Carlos Boozer84860.420.080.340.1310-51514.918.1-3.2614.515.7-1.20
Zydrunas Ilgauskas86900.380.120.250.3805-516.212.14.1914.814.70.03
Jeff McInnis80820.320.180.150.35-16-714.818.0-3.2214.216.6-2.34
Eric Williams73730.130.37-0.230.16-16-715.116.6-1.5114.315.8-1.43
Jason Kapono17160.040.46-0.420.07-16-718.514.93.6016.014.61.44
Dajuan Wagner1112-0.020.52-0.54-0.0205-519.115.13.9914.814.80.07
Kevin Ollie2828-0.300.80-1.11-0.3005-515.915.40.5114.914.70.11

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Rooks4342-0.03-0.470.440.18-72-914.714.8-0.1715.615.50.17
Drew Gooden5656-0.12-0.380.25-0.368-132114.814.70.1016.614.22.36
Desmond Penigar1516-0.20-0.300.100.07-94-1316.414.51.8915.615.50.12
Steven Hunter3635-0.21-0.290.070.02-83-1115.714.31.3914.915.8-0.87
Tyronn Lue3736-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-72-915.414.50.8914.616.0-1.43
DeShawn Stevenson7268-0.23-0.270.04-0.323-81115.014.40.5815.515.6-0.18
Rod Strickland3536-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-61-714.614.9-0.3015.615.50.14
Juwan Howard7674-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-4314.515.4-0.9215.116.6-1.47
Keith Bogans6766-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.595-101514.115.9-1.8615.914.81.15
Tracy McGrady9391-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-2-114.616.2-1.5715.416.2-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.28,091.7%
TOR 123, OKC 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,091.5%
WAS 147, LAL 1410.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,091.2%