NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	7.2 [363]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +37.7%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.3 [548]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -27.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	15	61%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	7	89%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.05	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	65%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.13	0.03	-0.05	16	37%	0.00	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.07

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	10	76%	0.42	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	16	60%	0.15	2	-0.03	15	73%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	-0.00	0.12	-0.11	0.01	17	70%	0.12	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.19	0.02	12	53%	-0.15	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	36.3	15.5	26.8	1.8	40.8	1.5	19.5	168.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +54.2%

WAS -25.7%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +24.2%

WAS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	17.4	13.0	15.1	114.3	111.5	104.2
season	15.6	15.1		109.1	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	19.2	17.0	15.5	18.2	17.5	17.4
WAS	13.0	12.3	12.7	14.5	12.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-11	26	17.4	17.4	0.01	13.6	12.3	1.29
Patrick Patterson	74	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-3	10	17.1	18.0	-0.88	13.8	11.4	2.40
Amir Johnson	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	0	4	17.1	18.1	-0.94	12.3	15.2	-2.83
Tyler Hansbrough	26	25	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	-9	22	18.4	17.0	1.39	14.1	12.7	1.44
DeMar DeRozan	86	85	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	7	-10	17.1	18.8	-1.78	12.8	13.9	-1.06
Greivis Vasquez	52	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	2	0	18.1	16.7	1.34	13.6	12.5	1.17
Kyle Lowry	84	84	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	7	-10	17.3	17.7	-0.42	12.5	15.1	-2.56
Terrence Ross	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	2	0	17.4	17.4	-0.03	12.9	13.1	-0.26
Jonas Valanciunas	33	35	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.21	-17	21	-38	17.7	17.2	0.51	12.3	13.4	-1.16

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	5	7	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.25	-4	0	-4	12.8	13.0	-0.24	16.9	17.4	-0.56
Marcin Gortat	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-6	8	12.5	13.4	-0.90	18.0	16.9	1.16
John Wall	88	88	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-11	18	12.9	14.0	-1.15	17.5	16.6	0.88
Garrett Temple	24	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	13.5	12.9	0.67	16.8	17.5	-0.77
Paul Pierce	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-8	12	12.7	13.7	-1.06	17.7	16.8	0.92
Nene	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	13.2	12.7	0.50	18.0	15.8	2.23
Andre Miller	6	7	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	8	-20	16.8	12.8	4.04	17.3	17.4	-0.10
Otto Porter	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	0	-4	13.3	12.9	0.45	16.8	17.7	-0.89
Bradley Beal	88	90	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-8	12	12.6	15.2	-2.55	17.4	17.3	0.13
Kevin Seraphin	24	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	14	-32	12.9	13.1	-0.20	15.5	18.0	-2.55
Kris Humphries	58	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-2	0	13.8	12.0	1.81	16.9	17.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.53,0.29,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 123, OKC 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	89.5%
MIL 109, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.35,0.4,0.2,0.28,0.57,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.16,0.04,0	89.2%
LAL 116, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.04,0	89.2%