NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	8.0 [238]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +20.1%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	11.4 [155]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -28.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	88%	0.27	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	47%	0.02	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	16	51%	-0.02	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.22
Boris Diaw	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	8	61%	-0.00	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	12	31%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,-0.28	0.03	-0.31	0.00	9	62%	-0.22	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.09

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.09	0.03	15	72%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	22	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	45%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	13	58%	0.09	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	28.2	15.7	25.4	2.3	39.7	135.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.3%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +0.4%

CHA -6.6%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.5	98.9	101.1	106.4
season	16.5	15.9		103.0	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		111.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	13.8	17.7	15.5	15.7
WAS	15.4	15.0	15.0	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-6	10	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.4	14.7	0.69
DeSagana Diop	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-2	2	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.4	14.8	0.54
Cartier Martin	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.17	16.4	14.9	1.57
D.J. Augustin	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-6	10	15.0	16.3	-1.28	15.0	15.0	0.04
Raymond Felton	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.6	15.8	-0.20	14.7	15.6	-0.83
Raja Bell	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	4	-10	16.0	14.7	1.28	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Boris Diaw	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	1	-4	16.3	13.7	2.62	15.0	14.8	0.25
Gerald Wallace	85	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	3	-8	15.4	18.0	-2.59	14.8	17.1	-2.36
Emeka Okafor	63	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.59	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.3	0.60	15.4	14.2	1.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	78	78	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.34	17	-15	32	14.7	16.4	-1.76	16.4	11.9	4.56
Andray Blatche	75	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.50	7	-5	12	14.8	15.6	-0.82	16.3	13.3	3.00
Antawn Jamison	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-9	20	14.3	17.4	-3.09	15.7	15.4	0.33
Nick Young	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	2	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.4	17.2	-2.77
Dominic McGuire	87	86	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	-1	4	14.8	16.9	-2.03	16.1	11.2	4.82
Javaris Crittenton	62	62	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.39	-12	14	-26	15.7	13.6	2.10	15.4	16.1	-0.66
JaVale McGee	32	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	10	-18	17.0	13.9	3.06	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Oleksiy Pecherov	12	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	10	-18	15.8	14.9	0.98	12.3	16.2	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.96,0.89,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 92, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,1	90.9%
SAS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.98,1	90.3%
NYK 98, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	90.2%