NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	6.3 [568]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +23.5%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	4.6 [602]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -13.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	6	93%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	18	49%	0.08	5	-0.17	5	80%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	14	34%	-0.08	1	-0.05	7	29%	-0.10

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	7	76%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.02	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	16	47%	0.07	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.3	15.4	31.9	1.8	34.0	137.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +9.4%

ATL +19.7%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +6.7%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.6	91.3	100.0	104.4
season	16.3	15.6		106.0	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	18.0	16.6	15.5	16.5
ATL	16.3	12.0	13.4	16.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	34	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.01	5	-15	20	16.5	16.5	-0.01	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Beno Udrih	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-11	12	18.6	15.9	2.71	11.9	15.2	-3.21
Nazr Mohammed	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	14.3	17.1	-2.84	13.0	15.0	-1.97
Brent Barry	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-2	-6	18.0	16.0	1.91	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Rasho Nesterovic	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.5	16.5	0.08	16.8	13.5	3.35
Manu Ginobili	58	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.6	16.2	0.43	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Michael Finley	64	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-8	6	15.4	18.9	-3.52	14.7	14.2	0.47
Tim Duncan	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	17.1	14.6	2.56	15.0	13.2	1.75
Bruce Bowen	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	16.9	15.1	1.76	15.0	12.9	2.13
Tony Parker	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.12	-11	1	-12	15.9	18.6	-2.71	15.2	11.9	3.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	71	70	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-5	20	14.7	13.8	0.96	17.4	13.5	3.91
Zaza Pachulia	60	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-8	26	15.8	12.2	3.56	17.7	14.2	3.46
Tyronn Lue	56	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	1	8	14.9	13.9	1.08	15.3	18.0	-2.69
Josh Childress	64	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	1	8	13.7	16.2	-2.53	15.9	17.7	-1.86
Marvin Williams	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	5	0	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.9	17.5	-2.65
Royal Ivey	32	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	3	4	14.0	14.8	-0.77	18.0	15.6	2.37
Joe Johnson	80	79	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	10	-10	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.8	14.8	1.99
John Edwards	13	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	13.1	14.7	-1.66	12.4	17.0	-4.67
Salim Stoudamire	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	14	-18	12.0	14.9	-2.88	15.8	16.6	-0.74
Josh Smith	44	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	17	-24	14.6	14.4	0.24	16.5	16.5	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.4%
MIN 104, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.85,1	93.0%
SAC 85, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%