inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 115 Excitement10.0 [66] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +33.1%
Phoenix Suns 118 Comeback5.3 [308] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -29.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.37,0.37,0.330.120.240.022056%0.351-0.021283%0.04
Chris Andersen0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.02-0.01686%0.101-0.012100%0.01
Anthony Carter0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.05-0.00560%0.0800.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.060.001154%0.152-0.094100%0.02
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.010.05-0.040.001362%0.193-0.196100%0.11
Linas Kleiza-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.04-0.01530%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Renaldo Balkman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00250%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Nene-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.010.03956%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.3,-0.30.00-0.280.021258%-0.024-0.27786%0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.310.310.130.190.01879%0.392-0.08887%0.07
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.120.120.070.060.00575%0.171-0.04683%0.05
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.06-0.00480%0.141-0.022100%0.03
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.090.090.08-0.00-0.011363%0.122-0.03978%-0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.050.050.08-0.010.021062%0.0500.004100%0.04
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,0.010.01-0.060.06-0.011951%0.256-0.24771%-0.05
Alando Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.00542%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.05-0.03-0.08458%0.063-0.06425%-0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.15-0.06-0.01819%-0.104-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.535.015.828.22.645.0154.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +7.0%
PHX +22.8%
PHX +10.9%
PHX +10.3%
DEN -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHXNBADENPHXNBA
this game15.913.415.5117.3120.4106.4
season14.414.1109.5112.1
opponent15.515.7109.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.814.615.517.215.9
PHX14.512.012.215.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza20190.27-0.771.04-0.0210-132313.316.6-3.2713.513.40.11
Nene42430.14-0.640.780.053-6915.316.4-1.1615.411.93.57
Dahntay Jones1313-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-4516.815.80.9515.113.21.89
Chauncey Billups7978-0.11-0.390.29-0.317-101715.617.6-2.0213.413.6-0.20
Renaldo Balkman2627-0.21-0.290.080.02-85-1317.015.61.3813.913.30.67
J.R. Smith6766-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-52-716.415.11.2913.413.5-0.09
Kenyon Martin7271-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.310-3315.816.3-0.5413.413.4-0.01
Carmelo Anthony7979-0.540.04-0.57-0.42-41-516.214.71.5013.413.7-0.30
Anthony Carter3740-0.650.15-0.81-0.33-118-1915.816.1-0.3112.713.9-1.16
Chris Andersen5554-0.770.27-1.04-0.53-85-1316.715.01.6911.915.4-3.49

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Dudley62600.74-0.240.980.3912-92112.914.4-1.5516.015.90.09
Grant Hill72720.63-0.130.760.408-51313.413.6-0.2415.816.3-0.49
Shaquille O'Neal49500.50-0.000.500.4130314.312.61.6915.316.6-1.37
Jason Richardson79800.350.150.210.44-36-913.513.40.0915.916.3-0.40
Steve Nash73730.310.190.120.3103-313.313.8-0.5415.417.5-2.06
Lou Amundson39390.250.25-0.01-0.029-61513.213.6-0.3917.115.21.96
Goran Dragic25250.190.31-0.120.1030313.813.30.5417.515.42.06
Alando Tucker19180.150.35-0.21-0.036-3913.413.5-0.0916.315.90.40
Stromile Swift1011-0.160.66-0.82-0.01-58-1312.713.5-0.8214.516.1-1.58
Robin Lopez109-0.220.72-0.95-0.02-710-1710.213.8-3.6114.616.1-1.53
Matt Barnes5253-0.230.73-0.960.09-1114-2514.312.41.9316.415.40.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.46,0.33,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,189.9%
PHI 89, MIA 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.72,189.4%
POR 82, DAL 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.42,189.3%