NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	8.0 [230]		MVP	Sasha Danilovic (DAL): +19.1%
Dallas Mavericks	87		Comeback	6.9 [55]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -28.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Stacey Augmon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rumeal Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.03	-0.11	-0.04	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	13	37%	-0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.12,0.11,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.18	0.01	14	59%	0.33	2	-0.14	9	67%	0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	81%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed O'Bannon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.05
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Dreiling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	4	60%	-0.02	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	18	38%	-0.09	2	-0.19	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.4	15.5	23.2	1.8	39.3	135.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.0%

DAL +3.0%

DAL +26.5%

POR -26.2%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.6	90.1	95.6	104.4
season	15.5	15.9		105.2	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	13.8	16.5	17.5	15.9
DAL	16.0	15.6	17.0	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	20	20	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-15	25	14.0	16.4	-2.36	16.2	15.6	0.63
Rumeal Robinson	16	16	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-12	19	14.4	16.2	-1.84	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Dontonio Wingfield	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-7	9	15.6	16.0	-0.36	13.6	16.7	-3.06
Chris Dudley	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.3	15.3	0.95	16.9	14.1	2.87
Stacey Augmon	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	16.4	15.7	0.69	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Gary Trent	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	16.1	15.7	0.36	15.2	16.3	-1.08
Rasheed Wallace	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-5	5	15.9	15.9	-0.02	16.8	14.5	2.31
Isaiah Rider	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.7	16.4	-0.69	16.2	14.7	1.49
Clifford Robinson	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	6	-17	16.1	15.1	1.04	15.4	17.2	-1.77
Kenny Anderson	75	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.25	-12	7	-19	16.2	14.4	1.84	15.8	15.6	0.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	36	36	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-6	17	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.9	15.2	1.65
Derek Harper	35	34	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-2	9	14.5	16.5	-1.98	16.1	15.8	0.32
Shawn Bradley	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	0	5	16.3	14.7	1.64	16.8	14.2	2.67
A.C. Green	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-3	11	15.7	16.1	-0.39	16.2	13.4	2.80
Sasha Danilovic	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	15.9	15.0	0.86	15.7	16.8	-1.03
Martin Muursepp	17	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	7	-9	14.5	16.0	-1.51	16.7	15.7	0.97
Michael Finley	64	67	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.18	4	1	3	15.7	15.8	-0.08	15.1	18.0	-2.81
Ed O'Bannon	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	17.0	15.7	1.28	17.7	15.8	1.84
Greg Dreiling	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	10	-15	16.0	15.7	0.38	12.5	17.0	-4.47
Robert Pack	56	57	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	7	-9	16.5	14.5	1.98	15.8	16.1	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.46,0.33,0.58,1	89.3%
ATL 67, ORL 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	88.9%
PHI 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.72,1	88.5%