inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 80 Excitement7.4 [346] MVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): +10.7%
San Antonio Spurs 77 Comeback3.2 [190] LVPMichael Finley (SAS): -32.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.070.01771%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Garnett0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.01956%0.1000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.001653%0.0900.004100%0.02
Mikki Moore0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03-0.030.05-0.00544%0.091-0.06650%-0.04
Henry Walker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05-0.03-0.020.001941%-0.021-0.0410%-0.01
Eddie House-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.070.00437%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26-0.12-0.120.021626%-0.241-0.022100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.04-0.00250%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.04-0.00250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00644%0.0100.00475%0.00
Jacque Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.011544%0.022-0.12475%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00847%-0.013-0.081100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,-0.1,-0.32-0.320.00-0.320.012349%-0.222-0.10520%-0.38
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.04-0.240.04933%-0.3200.00333%-0.14
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.725.415.424.82.034.7129.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +34.2%
BOS +23.3%
SAS -26.7%
BOS +21.5%
SAS -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game16.017.515.594.188.5106.4
season15.816.4108.3106.6
opponent15.715.6103.2101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.416.713.717.416.0
SAS16.317.618.217.817.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo70740.84-0.341.180.3417-143115.617.8-2.1917.715.91.82
Kendrick Perkins61610.75-0.250.990.518-51315.118.4-3.3118.315.52.76
Ray Allen70710.57-0.070.650.4930316.115.70.4017.517.30.19
Paul Pierce71730.52-0.020.540.404-1515.021.0-5.9917.417.7-0.29
Glen Davis45470.250.250.010.40-58-1317.414.43.0217.617.30.27
Kevin Garnett29290.120.38-0.270.0912-113.817.1-3.3016.917.8-0.86
Mikki Moore3536-0.150.65-0.79-0.1503-317.614.92.7216.917.9-1.04
Eddie House2426-0.210.71-0.92-0.06-58-1317.615.42.2616.118.0-1.93
Stephon Marbury2018-0.220.72-0.940.02-811-1918.615.23.4717.417.5-0.10

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Drew Gooden28280.19-0.690.89-0.048-111915.918.2-2.2718.214.93.30
Roger Mason Jr.58600.15-0.650.79-0.129-122116.818.8-1.9815.916.2-0.34
Jacque Vaughn10-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-1-10.017.7-17.670.016.0-16.00
Ime Udoka65-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-2117.717.50.2114.416.1-1.70
George Hill4037-0.03-0.470.450.12-52-717.117.8-0.6417.415.02.39
Matt Bonner5354-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-6917.417.6-0.2415.816.3-0.51
Bruce Bowen3633-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.11-85-1316.917.9-0.9917.515.12.43
Kurt Thomas3331-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-41-518.217.11.1016.315.80.51
Tony Parker6867-0.590.09-0.67-0.56-1-2117.916.01.8815.816.8-1.06
Michael Finley5453-0.680.18-0.86-0.53-52-718.016.71.3014.718.2-3.51
Tim Duncan5857-0.680.18-0.87-0.42-96-1518.515.43.1414.918.2-3.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.33,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 102, LAL 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.42,091.6%
MIA 107, SEA 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.08,091.2%
DAL 116, GSW 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.53,091.1%